我国生产性服务贸易国际竞争力影响因素的实证研究
发布时间：2018-08-04 13:59
【摘要】：生产性服务业是连接制造业和服务业的关键桥梁,在国民经济内的地位日益显著。生产性服务贸易的国际竞争力是一国服务贸易竞争力的重要组成部分,它的提高可以显著提高一国的服务贸易竞争力水平,进而提高国家整体的国际竞争力。现阶段,我国服务贸易尤其是生产性服务贸易均长期陷于逆差地位,提升其国际竞争力是中国扭转贸易格局的重要举措。文章首先细致地阐述了我国生产性服务贸易的现状,然后对实际的竞争力水平(包括总体和部门)做了测量与剖析。结果表明生产性服务贸易的规模大,增速变化大,发展势头较好,但是进出口部门的结构不平衡,进出口大量的劳动密集型服务,对知识和技术密集型服务的进出口明显较小。竞争力总体水平较弱,但增速可观,建设服务的国际竞争力最强,电信、计算机和信息服务的发展势头越来越强劲,知识产权使用费、金融服务、保险和养老金服务三个部门的国际竞争力较弱。为了考察与发达国家的差距,将我国生产性服务贸易的整体竞争力水平与美国进行比较。随后文章对影响因素做了理论说明,具体阐述了六个因素的作用机制。进而运用1983-2015年的数据做回归分析和VAR模型的脉冲响应,分别从静态和动态两个角度考察六个因素对竞争力的影响。实证研究发现,收入水平和开放度对竞争力有显著的积极影响,其他四个因素或者影响不显著或者有负向影响,而这与我国的实际国情相关。最后一部分则凭借影响因素与模型运算结果,有针对性地提出了符合中国实际情况的相关建议。主要包括以下:提高人均收入水平,促进需求多样化;提升贸易开放度,增强国际市场交流;加快发展国内服务业,调整产业结构;发挥货物贸易带动作用,推动协同发展;吸引外商直接投资,优化外资利用结构;加强教育长期投入,培育优质人力资本。
[Abstract]:Producer service is the key bridge between manufacturing industry and service industry, and plays an increasingly important role in the national economy. The international competitiveness of productive trade in services is an important part of the competitiveness of a country's trade in services. Its improvement can significantly improve the level of competitiveness of a country's trade in services, and then enhance the overall international competitiveness of a country. At present, China's trade in services, especially the productive trade in services, has been in deficit position for a long time. To improve its international competitiveness is an important measure for China to reverse the pattern of trade. This paper first elaborates the present situation of China's productive service trade, and then measures and analyzes the actual competitiveness level (including the overall level and the department level). The results show that the scale of productive services trade is large, the growth rate is changing greatly, and the development momentum is good. However, the structure of import and export departments is unbalanced, a large number of labor-intensive services are imported and exported, and the import and export of knowledge-intensive services and technology-intensive services are obviously smaller. The overall level of competitiveness is weak, but the growth rate is considerable, the international competitiveness of construction services is the strongest, the development momentum of telecommunications, computer and information services is becoming stronger and stronger, intellectual property rights usage fees, financial services, The three sectors of insurance and pension services are less competitive internationally. In order to investigate the gap between China and developed countries, the overall competitive level of China's productive services trade is compared with that of the United States. Then the paper makes a theoretical explanation of the influencing factors, and expounds the action mechanism of the six factors in detail. Then using the data from 1983 to 2015 to do regression analysis and the impulse response of VAR model, we investigate the influence of six factors on competitiveness from static and dynamic angles respectively. The empirical study shows that the income level and openness have a significant positive impact on competitiveness, the other four factors have no significant or negative impact, which is related to the actual situation of our country. In the last part, based on the influence factors and the results of the model operation, the author puts forward some relevant suggestions in accordance with the actual situation in China. It mainly includes the following aspects: raising the level of per capita income and promoting diversification of demand; enhancing the openness of trade and enhancing the exchange of international markets; speeding up the development of domestic service industries and adjusting the industrial structure; giving full play to the role of goods trade as a driving force and promoting coordinated development; To attract foreign direct investment, optimize the structure of foreign capital utilization, strengthen long-term investment in education, and cultivate high-quality human capital.
【学位授予单位】：兰州财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F752.68
本文编号：2164105
[Abstract]:Producer service is the key bridge between manufacturing industry and service industry, and plays an increasingly important role in the national economy. The international competitiveness of productive trade in services is an important part of the competitiveness of a country's trade in services. Its improvement can significantly improve the level of competitiveness of a country's trade in services, and then enhance the overall international competitiveness of a country. At present, China's trade in services, especially the productive trade in services, has been in deficit position for a long time. To improve its international competitiveness is an important measure for China to reverse the pattern of trade. This paper first elaborates the present situation of China's productive service trade, and then measures and analyzes the actual competitiveness level (including the overall level and the department level). The results show that the scale of productive services trade is large, the growth rate is changing greatly, and the development momentum is good. However, the structure of import and export departments is unbalanced, a large number of labor-intensive services are imported and exported, and the import and export of knowledge-intensive services and technology-intensive services are obviously smaller. The overall level of competitiveness is weak, but the growth rate is considerable, the international competitiveness of construction services is the strongest, the development momentum of telecommunications, computer and information services is becoming stronger and stronger, intellectual property rights usage fees, financial services, The three sectors of insurance and pension services are less competitive internationally. In order to investigate the gap between China and developed countries, the overall competitive level of China's productive services trade is compared with that of the United States. Then the paper makes a theoretical explanation of the influencing factors, and expounds the action mechanism of the six factors in detail. Then using the data from 1983 to 2015 to do regression analysis and the impulse response of VAR model, we investigate the influence of six factors on competitiveness from static and dynamic angles respectively. The empirical study shows that the income level and openness have a significant positive impact on competitiveness, the other four factors have no significant or negative impact, which is related to the actual situation of our country. In the last part, based on the influence factors and the results of the model operation, the author puts forward some relevant suggestions in accordance with the actual situation in China. It mainly includes the following aspects: raising the level of per capita income and promoting diversification of demand; enhancing the openness of trade and enhancing the exchange of international markets; speeding up the development of domestic service industries and adjusting the industrial structure; giving full play to the role of goods trade as a driving force and promoting coordinated development; To attract foreign direct investment, optimize the structure of foreign capital utilization, strengthen long-term investment in education, and cultivate high-quality human capital.
【学位授予单位】：兰州财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F752.68
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