基于总量控制与交易制度的江西省光伏产业经济和生态绩效研究

发布时间：2018-11-20 18:20

【摘要】：随着全球经济的快速发展,气候变暖等生态问题带来的困扰越来越严重。所以,生态化发展是每个国家所必须面临的挑战。2016年1月22日,国家发改委发布了《关于切实做好全国碳排放权交易市场启动重点工作的通知》,要求2017年必须开启国内统一的碳排放交易市场。由此可见实施总量控制与交易制度(Cap-And-Trade System)已经上升至国家发展战略层。而太阳能资源以其特有的安全环保以及无污染等特点,必将作为我国乃至全世界在未来重点利用的能源,光伏产业发展的黄金时期也随之到来。因此,本论文基于循环经济、生态发展的理念,通过分析光伏企业经营效率和生态绩效,基于总量控制与交易制度,为光伏企业设计碳管理模型,旨在实现经济效益和生态效益的统一。本文的主要研究内容如下:首先,以生态化为基础,以光伏企业为背景,对江西省光伏产业生态经济发展进行深入的了解,描述了国内外光伏产业研究现状及生态绩效研究现状,并对江西省光伏产业发展概况进行了研究,运用多元线性回归模型从进出口贸易、发展特点等方面对江西省光伏产业发展现状进行了把握,为本文研究主体做出了铺垫。其次,基于实际调研情况,结合江西省光伏产业发展环境,重点选取了两家光伏企业,建立灰色财务评价指标体系,运用灰色财务评价动态模型计算了两家企业在2011年一季度至2016年四季度的财务状况与“满意财务状况”的关联系数值;随后构建了光伏企业生态绩效评价模型,并以此对江西省两家重点光伏企业生态绩效进行研究,总结出江西省光伏产业生态化发展所存在的一些问题。最后,基于总量管制与交易制度,为政府以及光伏企业设计碳管理模型,并提出光伏产业可持续发展的战略路径。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of global economy, ecological problems such as climate warming are becoming more and more serious. Therefore, ecological development is a challenge that every country must face. On January 22, 2016, the National Development and Reform Commission issued a notice on effectively doing a good job in starting the national carbon emissions trading market. A unified domestic carbon trading market must be opened in 2017. This shows that the implementation of total control and trading system (Cap-And-Trade System) has risen to the level of national development strategy. Because of its unique characteristics of safety, environmental protection and no pollution, solar energy will be used as the key energy in the future in our country and the world, and the golden period of photovoltaic industry development will come along with it. Therefore, based on the concept of circular economy and ecological development, this paper designs a carbon management model for photovoltaic enterprises by analyzing the efficiency and ecological performance of photovoltaic enterprises, based on the total volume control and trading system. The aim is to realize the unification of economic benefit and ecological benefit. The main research contents of this paper are as follows: firstly, based on the ecology and the background of the photovoltaic enterprises, we have a deep understanding of the development of the ecological economy of the photovoltaic industry in Jiangxi Province. This paper describes the research status and ecological performance of photovoltaic industry at home and abroad, studies the development of photovoltaic industry in Jiangxi Province, and applies the multiple linear regression model to import and export trade. The characteristics of the development of Jiangxi photovoltaic industry development status is grasped, for the main body of this study made a foreshadowing. Secondly, based on the actual investigation, combining with the development environment of the photovoltaic industry in Jiangxi Province, two photovoltaic enterprises are selected to establish the grey financial evaluation index system. The grey financial evaluation dynamic model is used to calculate the relationship between the financial situation of the two enterprises from the first quarter of 2011 to the fourth quarter of 2016 and the "satisfactory financial situation". Then the ecological performance evaluation model of photovoltaic enterprises is constructed, and the ecological performance of two key photovoltaic enterprises in Jiangxi Province is studied, and some problems in the ecological development of photovoltaic industry in Jiangxi Province are summarized. Finally, based on the total amount control and trading system, the carbon management model is designed for the government and photovoltaic enterprises, and the strategic path for sustainable development of photovoltaic industry is put forward.
【学位授予单位】：华东交通大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F426.61;F205

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