面向大城市病的政府政策有效性实证研究——以“北京市摇号购车”政策为例

发布时间：2019-07-02 15:35

【摘要】：当前,大城市病已成为城市科学、可持续发展必须面对和解决的问题。为此,政府出台各种政策予以应对,但实施效果还有待进一步观察和评估。适用于大城市病政策的定量评估模型将有利于深入解读政策效果,为政策后续调整提供参考建议。基于已有相关研究成果,综合目标达成模型和用户导向模型的特点,同时借鉴情报学网络舆情分析思路,本文提出一种定量与定性、客观与主观相结合的综合评估模型,并以"北京市摇号购车"政策为例进行实证分析。结果显示该政策客观有效但民众满意度低,并就这种矛盾背后的原因给出分析。模型的合理性和可行性得到验证,将为相关部门进一步优化和完善政策提供新的思路。
[Abstract]:At present, the disease of big cities has become the science of cities, and the sustainable development must face and solve the problems. Therefore, the government issued a variety of policies to deal with it, but the implementation effect needs to be further observed and evaluated. The quantitative evaluation model suitable for the disease policy of big cities will be helpful to deeply interpret the policy effect and provide reference suggestions for the follow-up adjustment of the policy. Based on the existing research results, the characteristics of the target achievement model and the user-oriented model, and drawing lessons from the information science network public opinion analysis train of thought, this paper proposes a quantitative and qualitative, objective and subjective comprehensive evaluation model, and takes the policy of "Beijing Shake car purchase" as an example to carry on the empirical analysis. The results show that the policy is objective and effective, but the satisfaction of the people is low, and the reasons behind this contradiction are analyzed. The rationality and feasibility of the model are verified, which will provide new ideas for the relevant departments to further optimize and improve the policy.
【作者单位】：武汉大学信息资源研究中心;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重大项目“智慧城市应急决策情报体系建设研究”(13&ZD173)研究成果之一
【分类号】：C934

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