防范化解重大风险前提的积极财政政策转型

发布时间：2018-04-10 04:13

本文选题：防范与化解风险　切入点：财政政策转型　出处：《改革》2017年11期

【摘要】：为应对金融危机的冲击,世界主要经济体都采取了扩张性财政政策,导致政府债务水平高企,财政风险积聚。财政风险作为经济运行新的不确定性因素,成为公共风险的重要来源。由各种内外部因素导致的公共风险迭代变化是传统财政政策效应递减的主要因素。在财政扩张不可持续、政府应对公共风险责任日趋增加的条件下,财政政策应当在公共风险与财政风险之间作出权衡,在控制财政支出扩张的基础上有效应对公共风险。这就要求财政政策从调节总量向调节结构、调节利益转变,从传统财政政策的"冲击-支出-乘数-总量"转向"行为-风险-治理"的新逻辑。
[Abstract]:In response to the impact of the financial crisis, the world's major economies have adopted expansionary fiscal policies, resulting in high levels of government debt and fiscal risk accumulation.As a new uncertain factor in economic operation, financial risk has become an important source of public risk.The iterative change of public risk caused by various internal and external factors is the main factor of decreasing the effect of traditional fiscal policy.Under the condition that fiscal expansion is not sustainable and the government's responsibility to deal with public risks is increasing day by day, fiscal policies should balance public risks with fiscal risks, and effectively deal with public risks on the basis of controlling the expansion of fiscal expenditure.This requires the fiscal policy to change from adjusting total amount to adjusting structure, adjusting benefits, and changing the traditional fiscal policy from "shock-Expenditure-multiplier-Total" to "Behavior-Risk-Governance" new logic.
【作者单位】：中国财政科学研究院宏观经济研究中心;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金项目“国家治理现代化视角下的财税体制改革研究”(批准号:17VZL011)
【分类号】：F812.0

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