中国财政预算支出对经济增长、资源消耗、环境保护的绩效分析

发布时间：2018-05-14 13:41

本文选题：财政支出 + 经济增长　；参考：《财政研究》2015年03期

【摘要】：通过Hamilton模型分析与数字模拟,研究发现:社会最优均衡下,财政预算支出通过"外部效应"、"环境效应",具有促进经济增长、降低资源消耗、改善环境质量的绩效,而"规模效应"的影响整体不大,这不同于直觉意义上规模越大绩效越好的传统观点。但2007~2011年间31个地区的面板计量发现:整体而言,中国财政预算支出并未表现出"规模效应"、"外部效应"、"环境效应",仅仅表现为"转移支付效应"。理论与现实的差距在于财政预算强调规模总量,忽视外部、环境效应的绩效考核与评价。因此,稳定规模、提升外部绩效、重视环境因素尤其是加大教育科技预算支出,这是提升财政预算绩效的突破口。
[Abstract]:Through the analysis of Hamilton model and digital simulation, it is found that under the social optimal equilibrium, budget expenditure can promote economic growth, reduce resource consumption and improve environmental quality through "external effect" and "environmental effect". The "scale effect" has little effect on the whole, which is different from the traditional view that the larger the scale is, the better the performance is. However, panel measurements in 31 regions in 2007 and 2011 found that, overall, China's budget expenditure did not show "scale effect", "external effect", "environmental effect", but only "transfer payment effect". The gap between theory and reality lies in the performance evaluation and evaluation of environmental effect. Therefore, stabilizing the scale, improving the external performance, paying attention to the environmental factors, especially increasing the budget expenditure on education science and technology are the breakthrough points to improve the performance of the financial budget.
【作者单位】：江西财经大学信息管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(NO:71063006;NO:71273122) 中国博士后基金(NO:2013M541066)的资助国家软科学项目(2012GXS4D089)的资助江西财经大学2014校重点课题大学生创新创业课题(NO:201410421112,课题负责人叶维拥)的资助
【分类号】：X196;F812.3;F124.1

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