农业补贴、非农就业与粮食生产——基于黑龙江、吉林、河南和山东四省的调研数据

发布时间：2018-05-15 17:30

本文选题：粮食生产 + 农业补贴　；参考：《农业经济问题》2017年09期

【摘要】：为了深入分析国家农业补贴和农民非农就业对农户粮食生产的影响,本文利用黑龙江、吉林、河南和山东等四省的调研数据,运用普通最小二乘回归和分位数回归进行分析。研究结果表明,农业补贴和外出务工对粮食生产的影响随着粮食生产规模的扩大由积极影响转变为消极影响,而本地务工则相反,农业补贴在不同规模条件下的影响较务工更大;家庭农业劳动力数量、本地工资和自营工商收入以及土地流入对农户粮食生产在不同规模下的影响基本一致,家庭农业劳动力和土地流入对粮食生产具有正向作用,本地工资性收入和自营收入则基本为负影响。建议国家粮食补贴应针对生产规模分层次、分标准实施,惠农政策多向小规模农户倾斜;积极出台鼓励本地务工和农村土地流转政策。
[Abstract]:In order to deeply analyze the influence of national agricultural subsidies and non-agricultural employment on farmers' grain production, this paper makes use of the investigation data of Heilongjiang, Jilin, Henan and Shandong provinces, and uses ordinary least square regression and quantile regression to analyze the effects of agricultural subsidies and non-agricultural employment on farmers' grain production. The results show that the effects of agricultural subsidies and migrant workers on food production change from positive to negative as the scale of food production expands, while local workers are the opposite. The impact of agricultural subsidies on different scale conditions is greater than that of migrant workers; the number of household agricultural labour, local wages and self-employed industrial and commercial income, as well as the impact of land inflows on farmers' food production at different scales are basically the same. Family agricultural labor force and land inflow have a positive effect on grain production, while local wage income and self-income have a negative impact on grain production. It is suggested that the national grain subsidies should be implemented according to the scale of production and be carried out according to standards, and the policy of favouring agriculture should be more favorable to small-scale farmers, and the policy of encouraging local workers and rural land circulation should be actively introduced.
【作者单位】：中国农业科学院农业经济与发展研究所;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金面上项目“农户种植行为与农产品质量安全”(编号:71573261)
【分类号】：F326.11;F812.8

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