基于时空变化的消错学研究及其在决策中的应用

发布时间：2018-07-20 10:46

【摘要】： 决策的成功在很大程度除了受到决策者能力、知识、信息的获得和经验方而的影响外，还受到其他多种因索的影响，，比如时间、空间或时空共同的影响。本论文利用消错学的理论和方法，引进了基于时空变化的错误学的特性，对决策中的一些与时空有关的性质作了深入细致的研究。建守了基于时间和空间变化的错误系统的模型并讨论了模型的性质，因而拔出了避免错误的一些方法和对策，同时也给决策提供了一种系统的考虑问题的方法。再一点就是，本文的提出也为消错学理论的完善奠定了基础。本论文结构体系为：首先系统介绍了决策相关的历史沿革以及相关的定义和理论；其次介绍了消错学的理论框架，为后续章节的论述作好铺垫；再者是本文的的核心部分：首先引入基于时空变化的模糊错误系统的定义及相关的性质，而后在各节中分别探讨了模糊错误系统的时滞，熵变，突变；以及决策错误种类分析，错误的相互作用，模糊错误系统的极值和模糊错误转化词的应用。通过这些探讨，为决策的研究提供了一种思考问题的方法。
[Abstract]:To a large extent, the success of decision making is influenced not only by the ability of decision makers, knowledge, information and experience, but also by other factors, such as time, space or space. Based on the theory and method of error-elimination, this paper introduces the characteristics of errorology based on space-time variation, and makes a thorough and detailed study on some properties related to space-time in decision-making. The model of error system based on time and space change is built and the properties of the model are discussed. Therefore, some methods and countermeasures to avoid errors are proposed. At the same time, a systematic method of considering the problem is provided for decision making. Another point is that this paper also laid a foundation for the perfection of error-erasure theory. The structure system of this thesis is as follows: firstly, it introduces the historical evolution of decision-making and related definitions and theories; secondly, it introduces the theoretical framework of error-elimination, which lays the groundwork for the discussion of the following chapters. Thirdly, the core part of this paper is as follows: firstly, the definition and related properties of fuzzy error system based on spatio-temporal variation are introduced, and then the delay, entropy change, mutation of fuzzy error system and the analysis of decision error types are discussed in each section. The interaction of errors, the extremum of fuzzy error system and the application of fuzzy error transformation words. Through these discussions, a method of thinking is provided for the study of decision-making.
【学位授予单位】：广东工业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2002
【分类号】：C934

【共引文献】