新型城镇化背景下中国城乡社会保障制度发展路径研究

发布时间：2018-06-29 19:07

本文选题：城乡一体化 + 整合　；参考：《农业技术经济》2016年07期

【摘要】：中国城乡二元经济与社会结构导致了"碎片化"的社会保障制度,农村剩余劳动力的流动成为制度"破冰"与"衔接"的一种媒介,城乡社会保障制度的并轨应遵循怎样的发展路径呢?本文以1998—2014年中国省级面板数据为研究对象,运用GMM模型对中国社会保障发展路径进行分析。结果显示,制度整体呈现出"被动式"的发展路径,农村剩余劳动力流动推动着中国城乡社会保障一体化进程;从政府的视角来看,中国社会保障制度的发展历程是政府偏好主导下的社会风险驱动路径,政府的城市偏好政策对于城乡社会保障一体化具有负向的抑制效应。为了促使健康、有序和配套跟进的社会保障城乡一体化发展路径的形成,公共财政政策的中小城镇偏好主导下的配套组合跟进的新型城镇化战略发展模式来保障和优化城乡社会保障一体化发展路径。
[Abstract]:The dual economic and social structure of China's urban and rural areas has led to a "fragmented" social security system, and the flow of rural surplus labor force has become a medium for "breaking the ice" and "linking up" the system. What kind of development path should be followed in the integration of urban and rural social security system? Based on the provincial panel data of China from 1998 to 2014, this paper uses GMM model to analyze the development path of social security in China. The results show that the system as a whole presents a "passive" development path, and the flow of rural surplus labor forces promotes the process of social security integration between urban and rural areas in China. The development of China's social security system is a path driven by social risk driven by government preference. The government's urban preference policy has a negative inhibitory effect on the integration of urban and rural social security. In order to promote the formation of a healthy, orderly and complementary path for the integration of urban and rural development of social security, Under the guidance of the preference of small and medium-sized cities and towns of public finance policy, the supporting combination follows the new urbanization strategy development model to ensure and optimize the integrated development path of urban and rural social security.
【作者单位】：南京大学社会保障研究中心;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金后期资助项目(编号:15FGL014) 江苏省高校哲学社会科学基金项目(编号:2015SJB141) 江苏省社会科学基金项目(编号:15SHB001)
【分类号】：D632.1

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