“海砂建筑”的社会稳定风险研究

发布时间：2019-02-15 20:33

【摘要】：“海砂建筑”的社会稳定风险研究首先采用案例分析对“海砂建筑”社会稳定风险因素进行预识别;然后运用“社会燃烧理论”对“海砂建筑”的社会稳定风险机理进行深入研究,并从可燃物、助燃剂和着火点的角度对“海砂建筑”社会稳定风险因素进行分类,从而构建评价指标体系;最后,通过采用专家打分法结合模糊物元法构建一套合理的评价体系,并在此基础上提出合理化建议的研究。该研究的目的在于通过这项研究,能预判“海砂建筑”的社会稳定风险,采取相应的风险规避措施及风险应对方案,避免因“海砂建筑”的质量问题引发危害社会稳定的群体性事件发生。研究的结果包括:(1)通过对“海砂建筑”与社会稳定风险的相关案例进行分析,从中提炼出“海砂建筑”社会稳定风险的风险因素,将这些风险因素按经济、环境、技术、管理、社会、安全、谣言传播以及政府分成八大类。(2)运用“社会燃烧理论”结合已建成“海砂建筑”的潜伏期、形成期、生长期和危险期四个阶段,对“海砂建筑”的社会稳定风险产生、发展及演变机理进行了深入研究。在机理分析的基础上,结合“社会燃烧理论”可燃物、助燃剂以及着火点三要素得到了“海砂建筑”社会稳定风险评价的可燃物指标、助燃剂指标。(3)将专家打分法和模糊物元法相结合,创建了一套较为实用的社会稳定风险评估模型。利用这套模型,分别得到“海砂建筑”社会稳定风险形成阶段的6个主要的风险因素和“海砂建筑”社会稳定风险发展阶段的4个主要的风险因素。(4)针对“海砂建筑”形成原因提出一套防止“海砂建筑”产生的对策和建议。并根据风险评价的结果,通过控制可燃物,正向引导助燃剂,预防着火点事件发生来降低“海砂建筑”的社会稳定风险。
[Abstract]:The study on Social Stability risk of "Sea Sand Building" firstly, the paper uses case analysis to pre-identify the risk factors of social stability of "Sea Sand Architecture". Then the social stability risk mechanism of "sea sand building" is deeply studied by "social combustion theory", and the social stability risk factors of "sea sand building" are classified from the point of view of combustible matter, combustible agent and ignition point. Thus, the evaluation index system can be constructed. Finally, a reasonable evaluation system is constructed by using expert scoring method combined with fuzzy matter-element method, and on this basis, reasonable suggestions are put forward. The purpose of this study is to predict the social stability risks of "sea sand buildings", and to take corresponding risk avoidance measures and risk coping schemes. Avoid group events that endanger social stability caused by the quality problems of sea sand buildings. The results include: (1) through the analysis of the case of "sea sand building" and social stability risk, the risk factors of "sea sand building" social stability risk are extracted, and these risk factors are classified according to economy, environment and technology. Management, society, safety, rumor dissemination and the government are divided into eight categories. (2) the use of "social combustion theory" combines the four stages of incubation period, formation period, growth period and danger period of the completed "sea sand building". In this paper, the mechanism of social stability risk, development and evolution of sea sand architecture is studied. On the basis of mechanism analysis, the combustible index of social stability risk evaluation of "sea sand building" is obtained by combining the three elements of "social combustion theory", combustible agent and ignition point. (3) combining expert scoring method with fuzzy matter-element method, a set of practical risk assessment model for social stability is established. Using this model, Six main risk factors in the formation stage of social stability risk in "sea sand building" and four main risk factors in the development stage of social stability risk of "sea sand building" are obtained. (4) aiming at the "sea sand building" form Put forward a set of countermeasures and suggestions to prevent the formation of "sea sand building". According to the results of risk assessment, the risk of social stability of "sea sand building" can be reduced by controlling combustible materials, leading the flame support agent and preventing the occurrence of ignition events.
【学位授予单位】：华侨大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：TU746;D631.43

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