中国高等教育规模扩展的实证研究

发布时间：2018-06-14 00:37

本文选题：高等教育规模扩展 + 劳动力市场　；参考：《教育与经济》2014年06期

【摘要】：本文运用1 978-201 1年全国层面的宏观时间序列数据,实证估计并检验经济转型时期,中国高等教育规模与经济发展水平、人口、产业、劳动力市场、城市化水平及政策等因素的长期均衡关系。研究发现,工资水平与失业率是继人口、产业结构与恩格尔系数后,对高等教育规模扩展具有显著影响的因素。失业率的边际效应显著为正,平均工资水平的边际影响为负且绝对值大于失业率。城市化率对高等教育规模扩展具有显著的拉动作用且十分稳健。在逐步纳入毛入学率的影响因素后,我们发现经济发展水平对规模扩展的边际效应的绝对值不断减小且不再显著。据此,我们认为通过市场途径实现合理的高等教育规模扩展是一种更为有效的长期政策取向。
[Abstract]:Based on the macroscopic time series data of 1978-201 year at the national level, this paper empirically estimates and tests the scale of higher education and the level of economic development, population, industry, labor market in China during the period of economic transition. The long-term equilibrium relationship between urbanization level and policy. It is found that the wage level and the unemployment rate are significant factors influencing the expansion of higher education after the population, industrial structure and Engel's coefficient. The marginal effect of the unemployment rate is significantly positive, the marginal effect of the average wage level is negative and the absolute value is greater than the unemployment rate. Urbanization rate has a significant pull on the expansion of higher education scale and is very stable. We find that the absolute value of the marginal effect of the economic development level on the scale expansion is decreasing and no longer significant after the factors affecting the gross enrolment ratio are gradually taken into account. Therefore, we think that the rational expansion of higher education scale through market approach is a more effective long-term policy orientation.
【作者单位】：中国地质大学高等教育研究所;厦门大学王亚南经济研究院;
【基金】：教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金资助项目:“高等教育规模扩展与中国‘特征性’经济结构--来自省级面板数据的计量研究”(项目批准号:11YJC880043) 中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目:“中国公立大学自主发展问题研究”(项目批准号:CUG090119)
【分类号】：G649.2

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