农业产业结构优化调整与农业经济增长关系研究——以湖南省为例

发布时间：2018-03-28 23:28

本文选题：农业产业结构优化　切入点：农业经济增长　出处：《中南林业科技大学学报》2017年06期

【摘要】：文章首次从大农业的角度对农业三次产业结构优化与农业经济增长的关系进行实证研究,以湖南省2003—2012年的数据为研究样本,运用Eviews统计软件进行单位根检验和协整检验并进行格兰杰(Granger)因果关系检验,结果显示:(1)农业产业结构优化能够有效推动农业经济的发展,两者具有明显的正相关关系,且农业产业结构值平均每增长1%带来的是农业经济总量4.72%的正向变动;(2)通过格兰杰因果检验发现,农业经济的增长能够带动农业产业结构优化,但带动效果不显著;(3)农业产业结构优化与农业经济的发展存在一定的双向Granger因果关系,二者之间存在长期稳定的关系。
[Abstract]:This paper, for the first time, makes an empirical study on the relationship between the optimization of agricultural tertiary industrial structure and agricultural economic growth from the angle of large-scale agriculture, taking the data from 2003 to 2012 in Hunan Province as the research sample. The unit root test, cointegration test and Granger causality test are carried out with Eviews statistical software. The results show that the optimization of agricultural industrial structure can effectively promote the development of agricultural economy, and the two have obvious positive correlation. And the average growth of agricultural industrial structure by 1% is a positive change of 4.72% of the total agricultural economy. Through Granger causality test, it is found that the growth of agricultural economy can promote the optimization of agricultural industrial structure. But the driving effect is not significant (3) there is a certain two-way Granger causality between the optimization of agricultural industrial structure and the development of agricultural economy, and there is a long-term stable relationship between them.
【作者单位】：湖南农业大学商学院;中南大学商学院;
【基金】：湖南省社会科学基金项目“农业产业化龙头企业财政扶持政策绩效研究-基于湖南省的实证分析”(14YBA207) 中国烟草总公司湖南省公司重点科技项目“湖南烟农专业合作社运行机制与绩效评价体系研究及应用(14-15ZDBa08)
【分类号】：F327

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