西部地区能源产业发展研究

发布时间：2018-06-03 07:49

本文选题：西部能源 + 二氧化碳　；参考：《华中科技大学》2016年硕士论文

【摘要】：近年来我国经济突飞猛进,伴随着巨大的能源消耗,同时也带来一些列的环境问题。西部地区能源资源丰富,为我国能源供应提供了保障,对社会经济发展意义重大。对西部地区而言,高能耗和高排放的第二产业所占比重很大,伴随着能源消耗必然产生大量的二氧化碳排放,减排的形势十分严峻。同时由于西部地区气候干旱,水资源不足制约着能源产业的健康发展。如何协调能源、经济与环境三者的关系,在水资源约束下实现低碳可持续发展,是西部地区面临的严峻挑战。本文对西部地区能源产业发展进行了简要概述,对西部五省能源消费与经济增长进行了协整分析和格兰杰因果检验,结果表明对西部五省而言两者之间存在某种线性组合达到一定的均衡关系,同时表明西部五省经济增长直接带动了能源消耗的增加。利用LMDI分解法对西部五省单位GDP二氧化碳排放和水资源消耗进行了分解分析,结果表明对单位GDP二氧化碳排放量而言,能源强度因子和能源消费结构因子对其表现为抑制作用,产业结构因子对其表现为促进作用;对西部五省水资源消耗影响较大的是产业水耗强度因子和人均GDP因子,产业水耗强度降低意味着用水效率提高,可以有效减少水资源消耗。建立了基于投入产出模型的混合能源经济模型,在不同情景下对西部五省的能源消耗、二氧化碳排放和水资源消耗进行了预测,结果表明西部地区应该加快推行节能和节水工作才能较好的协调能源、经济与环境三者的关系。对比分析了西方发达国家的能源政策,结合西部地区的特点以及本文的研究成果,从经济与能源协调发展、提高能源使用过程中的效率、加快产业结构调整、优化能源使用结构、提高用水效率、健全相应政策法规等多个方面提出了西部地区能源产业的发展建议。
[Abstract]:In recent years, China's economy has developed rapidly, with huge energy consumption and some environmental problems. The western region is rich in energy resources and provides a guarantee for China's energy supply, which is of great significance to the development of the social economy. For the western region, the second industries with high energy consumption and high emission account for a large proportion, accompanied by energy. Consumption inevitably produces a large amount of carbon dioxide emissions, the situation is very severe. At the same time, due to the drought in the western region, the lack of water resources restricts the healthy development of the energy industry. How to coordinate the energy, the relationship between the three economy and the environment and the sustainable development of low carbon under the constraint of water resources is a severe challenge for the western region. This paper gives a brief overview of the development of energy industry in the western region. The cointegration analysis and Grainger causality test are carried out on the energy consumption and economic growth of the five western provinces in Western China. The results show that there is a certain linear combination between the five provinces of the west to achieve a certain equilibrium relationship, and that the economic growth of the five provinces in the west is directly driven by the same time. The LMDI decomposition method was used to analyze the carbon dioxide emissions and water consumption of five western provinces in Western China. The results showed that the energy intensity factor and energy consumption structure factor were inhibited by the unit GDP carbon dioxide emissions, and the industrial structure factors promoted the carbon dioxide emissions. The water consumption intensity factor and per capita GDP factor are the most influential factors in the water consumption of the five provinces in the West. The decrease of industrial water consumption means that the water consumption can be improved and the consumption of water resources can be reduced effectively. A mixed energy economic model based on input-output model is established, and the energy consumption and carbon dioxide emission of the five provinces in the western regions are in different circumstances. The result shows that the western region should accelerate the implementation of energy saving and water saving work in order to better coordinate energy and the relationship between the three people of the economy and the environment. The development of energy industry in the western region is proposed by the efficiency of the high energy use, the adjustment of the industrial structure, the optimization of the structure of energy use, the improvement of the efficiency of water use, and the improvement of the relevant policies and regulations.
【学位授予单位】：华中科技大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：F426.2

【参考文献】