中国与“一带一路”沿线国家的产业贸易关系研究

发布时间：2018-06-06 13:00

  本文选题：一带一路 + 国际产能合作　； 参考：《北京工商大学学报(社会科学版)》2017年06期

【摘要】：基于2013—2015年联合国商品贸易统计数据库的相关数据,按照《国际贸易标准分类(第二次修订版)》的分类标准,将国际货物贸易商品分为10个类别,并采用地理区域划分法将"一带一路"沿线65个国家划分为7个区域,通过测度相对贸易优势指数与双边贸易综合互补性系数,分别从时点、时段两个角度以及区域、国别两个视角考察了我国与"一带一路"沿线国家的贸易关系。主要研究结论如下:相对于初级产品部门而言,我国工业制成品部门的对外贸易竞争水平较高;在对外贸易相对优势方面,仅非食用原料(燃料除外)、动植物油脂及蜡2个类别逐年上升,其余8个类别均处于下降或波动态势。我国与"一带一路"沿线国家开展产能合作的可拓展空间较大,双方贸易互补性产业在数量上具有绝对优势。这在一定程度上可以降低我国对外贸易的风险,并从整体上提高我国对外贸易水平。
[Abstract]:Based on relevant data from the United Nations Commodity Trade Statistics Database for the period 2013-2015, according to the Standard International Trade Classification (second revision), which classifies goods traded in international goods into 10 categories, In this paper, 65 countries along "Belt and Road" are divided into 7 regions by the method of geographical region division. By measuring the index of relative trade advantage and the comprehensive complementary coefficient of bilateral trade, the two angles of time point, period of time and region, respectively, are used to measure the index of relative trade advantage and the comprehensive complementary coefficient of bilateral trade. The trade relationship between China and countries along Belt and Road is investigated from two perspectives of country. The main conclusions are as follows: compared with the primary commodity sector, the foreign trade competition level of China's manufactured goods sector is relatively high; Only non-edible raw materials (except fuel, animal and vegetable oils and waxes) increased year by year, and the other eight categories were in a decreasing or fluctuating trend. China and the countries along the "Belt and Road" can expand the production capacity cooperation, and the complementary trade industries of both sides have absolute advantage in quantity. To some extent, it can reduce the risk of China's foreign trade and improve the level of China's foreign trade as a whole.
【作者单位】： 江苏师范大学商学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金项目(13BJL078) 教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目(12YJC790160)
【分类号】：F752.7
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本文编号：1986610