技术市场对产业结构调整的促进效应——以北京技术市场为例
发布时间：2018-08-08 16:09
【摘要】：针对技术市场对产业结构调整的作用机制,利用Granger因果关系检验、VAR模型、脉冲响应函数、方差分解等方法或工具,实证分析并对比了北京技术市场与全国产业结构和北京产业结构的作用关系。结果显示:北京技术市场与全国和北京的产业结构均存在因果联系,并对全国第一产业产值比重的提升起抑制作用,对全国第二、第三产业产值比重的提升起促进作用,对北京第一、第三产业产值比重的提升起促进作用,对北京第二产业产值比重的提升起抑制作用;北京地区的产业结构仍未发展到以第三产业为主导的阶段。
[Abstract]:Aiming at the mechanism of technology market on industrial structure adjustment, we use Granger causality to test Granger model, impulse response function, variance decomposition and other methods or tools. Empirical analysis and comparison of the relationship between Beijing technology market and national industrial structure and Beijing industrial structure. The results show that there is a causal relationship between the technology market in Beijing and the industrial structure of the whole country and Beijing, which can inhibit the increase of the proportion of the output value of the primary industry in the whole country, and promote the proportion of the output value of the second and third industries in the whole country. It can promote the increase of the proportion of the output value of the third industry in Beijing and restrain the proportion of the output value of the second industry in Beijing, and the industrial structure in Beijing has not yet developed to the stage of the tertiary industry as the leading factor.
【作者单位】： 河北地质大学经贸学院;河北金融投资集团风险投资部;中国人民大学统计学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重大项目“经济社会公共数据的空间统计样本数据开发及应用研究”(11&ZD157)
【分类号】：F723.84;F121.3
[Abstract]:Aiming at the mechanism of technology market on industrial structure adjustment, we use Granger causality to test Granger model, impulse response function, variance decomposition and other methods or tools. Empirical analysis and comparison of the relationship between Beijing technology market and national industrial structure and Beijing industrial structure. The results show that there is a causal relationship between the technology market in Beijing and the industrial structure of the whole country and Beijing, which can inhibit the increase of the proportion of the output value of the primary industry in the whole country, and promote the proportion of the output value of the second and third industries in the whole country. It can promote the increase of the proportion of the output value of the third industry in Beijing and restrain the proportion of the output value of the second industry in Beijing, and the industrial structure in Beijing has not yet developed to the stage of the tertiary industry as the leading factor.
【作者单位】： 河北地质大学经贸学院;河北金融投资集团风险投资部;中国人民大学统计学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重大项目“经济社会公共数据的空间统计样本数据开发及应用研究”(11&ZD157)
【分类号】：F723.84;F121.3
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