重庆市生产性服务业集聚对经济增长影响研究

发布时间：2018-05-18 09:32

本文选题：生产性服务业 + 集聚　；参考：《重庆工商大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：在全球经济形势展现服务型经济逐步代替工业型经济的趋势,为维持经济在一个快速增长的水平上,传统的工业制造业等行业已经很难维持我国经济增长的要求,向服务业经济转型并以生产性服务业来带动和保持经济增长是一个必然的发展趋势。服务业作为现行经济情况下拉动经济增长最主要的力量,作为服务业中最重要的组成部分之一,生产性服务业的发展已经成为带动产业转型经济增长的关键之处。重庆市作为西部中心、长江上游经济中心,加快产业转型升级,大力发展生产性服务集聚区规模是关键之处。尽管直辖之后重庆市服务业取得较好的成绩,发展势头强劲,但无论是与国内发达的大城市相比还是国外其他的都市相比仍然存在不小的差距。在相关研究方面,学术对于生产性服务业的研究还落后于其发展的现状,尤其在集聚对经济会产生怎么的影响方面更是缺乏。根据已有的相关文献来看,各学者对生产性服务业的分析大多数还集中于在理论部分的分析,通过理论推理来预测其集聚会对经济产生怎样影响。而在建模分析集聚对经济带动作用也比较少见,常用的方法就是应用多元线性回归分析,将自己假设的解释变量融入到模型当中,分析变量对经济的影响。本文首先在理论部分根据已往的研究文献分别对产业集聚、生产性服务业集聚以及其对经济影响的方式的主要研究进展和结论总结并结合个人观点进行综述,基于已有关于生产性服务业的理论研究结合重庆市自身状况基于投入产出表对重庆市的生产性服务业进行分类;然后分别从其增加值和就业人数两个角度入手分别分析总结重庆市生产性服务业的发展现状,并基于国内外理论研究的基础上,归纳总结生产性服务业集聚促进经济增长的三条路径:集聚的规模、专业化程度和多样化水平,分别对作用机理进行阐述,提出了文章的三个假说。最后以重庆市主城九区为例,在C-D生产模型与VAR模型基础上进行扩展应用于本文实证分析,实证结果表明在重庆市生产性服务业集聚规模和多样化水平与重庆市经济发展呈正相关,即集聚规模扩大与集聚多样化水平提高会带动经济发展,而集聚专业化程度的加剧对经济的影响有一定的负面作用。以此结果为依据,为重庆市生产性服务业发展提供政策建议。
[Abstract]:In the global economic situation, the service economy is gradually replacing the industrial economy. In order to maintain the economy at a level of rapid growth, it is difficult for traditional industries such as industrial manufacturing to maintain the requirements of economic growth in China. It is an inevitable trend to transform to service economy and to promote and maintain economic growth with producer service industry. As one of the most important components of the service industry, the development of producer services has become the key to promote the economic growth of industrial transformation. As the western center of Chongqing and the economic center of the upper reaches of the Yangtze River, the key points are to accelerate the industrial transformation and upgrade and to develop the scale of the productive service agglomeration area. Although the service industry of Chongqing has made good achievements and the development momentum is strong, there is still not a small gap between Chongqing and other developed cities in China or other cities abroad. In related research, the academic research on producer services lags behind its development, especially in how agglomeration will have an impact on the economy. According to the existing relevant literature, most of the scholars' analysis of producer services is also focused on the theoretical part of the analysis, through theoretical reasoning to predict its concentration on the economic impact. However, it is rare to analyze the effect of agglomeration on the economy. The commonly used method is to apply multivariate linear regression analysis to analyze the influence of variables on the economy by integrating the explanatory variables assumed by themselves into the model. First of all, this paper summarizes the main research progress and conclusion of industrial agglomeration, producer service industry agglomeration and its influence on economy according to the previous research literature, and combines with personal viewpoint to sum up the main research progress and conclusion. Based on the existing theoretical research on producer services combined with Chongqing's own situation based on the input-output table to classify the producer services in Chongqing; Then it analyzes and summarizes the present situation of producer service industry in Chongqing from the two angles of added value and employment, and based on the theoretical research at home and abroad. This paper sums up three paths of producer services agglomeration to promote economic growth: the scale of agglomeration, the degree of specialization and the level of diversification, expounds the mechanism of action, and puts forward three hypotheses of this paper. Finally, based on the C-D production model and the VAR model, the paper takes the nine districts of Chongqing main city as an example, and applies it to the empirical analysis of this paper. The empirical results show that the agglomeration scale and diversification level of producer services in Chongqing are positively correlated with the economic development of Chongqing, that is, the expansion of agglomeration scale and the improvement of agglomeration diversification level will promote economic development. And the agglomeration specialization intensifies the influence to the economy has certain negative effect. Based on the results, policy suggestions are provided for the development of producer services in Chongqing.
【学位授予单位】：重庆工商大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F719;F127

【参考文献】