基于中国省级面板数据的服务业开放“经济增长效应”的经验研究

发布时间：2018-05-18 19:17

本文选题：服务业开放 + 经济增长　；参考：《国际商务(对外经济贸易大学学报)》2017年03期

【摘要】：近年来,中国服务业在GDP中的占比提升,逐渐成为领跑中国经济增长的新引擎。从理论上看,服务业开放能通过促进服务领域的改革,降低交易成本,进而有效地促进第一、第二、第三产业的发展,推动经济增长。近年来中央政府先后推出了"服务业开放综合试点"和"服务贸易创新发展试点"改革,但地方政府对促进服务业开放的积极性不高,在此情形下,中国服务业开放举措究竟能如何促进经济增长值得探究。本文建立了测量省级服务业开放水平的指标,进而检验不同地区服务业开放对当地经济发展的影响。实证结果表明,各省服务业的逐步开放会使各省经济增长显著放缓,特别是对工业、服务业的经济增长带来显著负面影响;从区域角度来看,东部各省服务业开放水平的提高,会明显地降低各省的经济增长;而中西部各省服务业开放水平的提高,对各省的经济增长没有产生显著影响。
[Abstract]:In recent years, China's service industry as a proportion of GDP has gradually become the leading new engine of China's economic growth. Theoretically, the opening up of service industry can promote the reform of service field, reduce the transaction cost, and then effectively promote the development of the first, second and third industries and promote economic growth. In recent years, the central government has successively launched the "Integrated pilot Project for the opening up of the Service Industry" and the "pilot Project for the Innovation and Development of Service Trade", but the local governments have not been highly motivated to promote the opening up of the service industry. It is worth exploring how the opening up of China's service industry can promote economic growth. This paper establishes an index to measure the opening level of the provincial service industry, and then tests the influence of the service industry opening in different regions on the local economic development. The empirical results show that the gradual opening of the service industry in each province will significantly slow down the economic growth of the provinces, especially the negative impact on the economic growth of the industrial and service industries, and from a regional point of view, the level of the opening up of the service industry in the eastern provinces will increase. It will obviously reduce the economic growth of the provinces, while the improvement of the service opening level in the central and western provinces will not have a significant impact on the economic growth of the provinces.
【作者单位】：对外经济贸易大学国际经贸学院;武汉大学经济与管理学院;对外经济贸易大学中国WTO研究院;
【基金】：国家社科基金项目“国际数字贸易新规则的内容特征与演进规律探究及中国的应对”(16BGJ013) 对外经济贸易大学杰出青年项目“国际数字贸易规则发展新趋向与中国的应对”(16JQ05) 教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目“中国制造业中间投入服务化水平测度及服务开放政策的微观生产率影响研究”(15JJD790005)的阶段性成果
【分类号】：F719

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