我国服务贸易对服务业就业的影响分析

发布时间：2018-06-22 15:55

本文选题：服务业 + 服务贸易　；参考：《辽宁大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着全球经济结构不断的调整，使得发达国家将服务业作为未来经济发展的中心。自改革开放以来我国服务业迅速发展，但劳动力供过于求的问题仍未解决，吸纳就业的责任将更多的落在发展服务业身上。根据配第-克拉克定理，随着一国经济实力的增长，国内劳动力逐渐向第三产业转移，一国的服务贸易将促进国民经济发展从而对国内就业产生影响。本文旨在分析我国服务贸易对服务业就业的影响作用。首先，服务贸易是包含于国际贸易之中，，文章通过对两者的比对以及结合我国服务贸易的特点，对我国服务贸易与服务业就业之间的关系进行理论研究。再根据历年来我国服务贸易与服务业就业的相关数据，对二者长期处于的状况进行分析，得出我国服务贸易促进服务业就业增长还有很大的扩展空间。其次，文章的数据选取为1990-2011年我国服务进出口额和服务业就业量，对数据进行处理后，对我国服务进出口与服务业就业之间的关系进行实证分析，即在二者的长期关系中，我国服务出口额每增长1%，服务业就业人数就会提高0.2329%；我国服务进口额每增长1%，服务业就业人数就会提高0.1108%。同时，文章还运用格兰杰因果检验法，对我国服务进出口和服务业就业进行因果检验，并分析原因。最后，文章提出了我国服务贸易发展提高服务业就业的建议，即确保政府职能有效执行，促进服务业发展；发挥我国服务业比较优势，服务业结构优化升级；提高从业人员素质，培养优秀服务贸易人才。
[Abstract]:With the constant adjustment of the global economic structure, the developed countries regard the service industry as the center of future economic development. Since the reform and opening up, China's service industry has developed rapidly, but the problem of oversupply of labor force has not been solved, and the responsibility of absorbing employment will fall more on the development of service industry. According to the pairy-Clark theorem, with the growth of a country's economic strength, the domestic labor force is gradually transferred to the tertiary industry, and the service trade of a country will promote the development of the national economy and thus have an impact on domestic employment. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the influence of China's service trade on service employment. First of all, service trade is included in international trade. This paper makes a theoretical study on the relationship between service trade and employment in service industry by comparing the two and combining the characteristics of China's service trade. According to the relevant data of service trade and employment in service industry over the years, this paper analyzes the long-term situation of the two, and draws a conclusion that there is still great room for expansion of employment growth in service industry in China. Secondly, the data of this paper are selected as the import and export volume of service and the employment volume of service industry from 1990 to 2011. After processing the data, the paper makes an empirical analysis on the relationship between the import and export of services and employment in the service industry, that is, in the long-term relationship between the two. For every increase in service export value, the number of service employment will increase by 0.2329, and the employment of service industry will increase by 0.1108 for each increase in service import value of our country. At the same time, the Granger causality test is used to test the service import and export and service employment in China, and the reasons are analyzed. Finally, the paper puts forward some suggestions to improve the employment of service industry, that is, to ensure the effective implementation of government functions, to promote the development of service industry, to give full play to the comparative advantages of China's service industry, and to optimize and upgrade the structure of service industry. Improve the quality of practitioners, train outstanding service trade personnel.
【学位授予单位】：辽宁大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F752.68;F719;F249.21

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