基于协整分析法的我国环保投资预测

发布时间：2018-01-31 17:04

本文关键词： 环保投资预测协整分析格兰杰因果检验　出处：《北京师范大学学报(自然科学版)》2012年06期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：通过协整检验和格兰杰因果检验法证实了环保投资与3个宏观经济变量人均GDP、财政支出、工业增加值之间具有长期均衡的协整关系和因果关系.利用建立的回归方程对于我国"十二五"期间的环保投资总量进行了预测.结果显示,我国"十二五"期间预计环保投资将达到3.98万亿元.最后,根据研究的结果,提出"十二五"期间环保投资相应的政策建议.
[Abstract]:The co-integration test and Granger causality test proved that environmental protection investment and three macroeconomic variables per capita GDP, fiscal expenditure. There is a long-term equilibrium cointegration and causality between industrial added value. Using the established regression equation, the total amount of environmental protection investment in China during the 12th Five-Year Plan period is forecasted. The result shows that. It is estimated that the investment in environmental protection will reach 3.98 tillion yuan during the 12th Five-Year Plan period in China. Finally, according to the results of the study, the corresponding policy suggestions for environmental protection investment during the 12th Five-Year Plan period are put forward.
【作者单位】：北京师范大学水科学研究院;环境保护部环境规划院;
【基金】：2009年环保公益资助项目(200909111)
【分类号】：X196;F124;F224
【正文快照】： 0引言环保投资是指社会各有关投资主体从社会积累基金和各种补偿基金、生产经营基金中,支付用于污染防治、保护和改善生态环境的资金.环保投资的目的是促进经济建设与环境保护的协调发展,使环境得到保护和改善.目前,我国的环保投资主要由3大部分组成:工业污染源污染治理投资

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