虚拟经济与实体经济关系的理论与实证研究

发布时间：2018-02-25 21:02

本文关键词： 虚拟经济实体经济分离非对称性边界互动　出处：《南昌大学》2008年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】： 虚拟经济与实体经济这两种经济形态构成了现代经济体系的新格局。经济的虚拟化趋势使世界经济发生了显著的变化,虚拟经济与实体经济的地位和关系发生了空前的变化,从诸多表象来看,虚拟经济与实体经济似乎已经分离,虚拟经济在规模和增长速度上越来越远离实体经济而日益成为一个相对独立的经济活动领域。文章在结构上共分8章。第一章首先回顾了国内外虚拟经济与实体经济的研究历程和学者们的主要观点,并在第三章全面介绍了对两者关系研究的新进展——分离假说、互动论以及互动危机说。在总结前人研究的基础上,第二章分析了虚拟经济作用于实体经济的机制与潜在效应。虚拟经济通过四条主要渠道作用于实体经济;虚拟经济的增长对实体经济既有正面效应,也有消极效应。为了检验我国虚拟经济与实体经济之间的关系,第四章采用1991～2007年中国的相关数据,运用金融资产比率、马歇尔K值及流量指标对第三章的三类学说进行验证,并作出了初步的经验性判断:三个指标仅有一个勉强支持分离假说,并无充足的理由证明我国虚拟经济与实体经济出现了分离。为了进一步量化虚拟经济与实体经济的关系,文章第五章采用计量与灰色关联方法试图对两者进行实证分析。从总体上看,虚拟经济与实体经济的分离是一种表象,两者事实上存在着良性互动,并且两者之间的影响是非对称的,虚拟经济对实体经济的溢出效应要远远大于实体经济对虚拟经济的溢出效应,虚拟经济与实体经济互动发展处于“供给引导型”状态;从结构上看,虚拟经济各部门与实体经济存在不同程度的关联,其中股票市场对实体经济的影响优于其他项目。为了求解虚拟经济增长的边界,第六章运用动态方法分析了狭义虚拟经济增长的路径。虚拟经济不会无限地扩张,随着时间的推移将收敛于某一个稳态值,狭义虚拟经济存在一个适度规模。在此基础上,文章第七章提出了进一步促进虚拟经济与实体经济良性互动、防止非理性泡沫的若干建议。第八章对虚拟经济与实体经济关系的未来研究方向作了初步展望。
[Abstract]:The virtual economy and the real economy constitute a new pattern of modern economic system. The virtualization trend of economy has brought about remarkable changes in the world economy, and the status and relationship between the virtual economy and the real economy have undergone unprecedented changes. From many appearances, virtual economy and real economy seem to have been separated. Virtual economy is becoming a relatively independent field of economic activity in scale and growth rate. This paper is divided into 8 chapters in structure. The first chapter reviews the research history of virtual economy and real economy at home and abroad and the main viewpoints of scholars. In chapter 3, it introduces the new progress in the research of the relationship between the two, the separation hypothesis. The second chapter analyzes the mechanism and potential effect of virtual economy in real economy. Virtual economy acts on real economy through four main channels. The growth of virtual economy has both positive and negative effects on the real economy. In order to test the relationship between the virtual economy and the real economy in China, Chapter 4th uses the relevant data from 1991 to 2007 and the ratio of financial assets. Marshall K value and flow index verify the three kinds of theories in Chapter 3, and make a preliminary empirical judgment: only one of the three indicators reluctantly supports the separation hypothesis. In order to further quantify the relationship between virtual economy and real economy, there is no sufficient reason to prove the separation of virtual economy and real economy. Chapter 5th tries to make an empirical analysis of the two methods by means of econometrics and grey correlation. In general, the separation of virtual economy and real economy is a kind of appearance, and there is in fact a positive interaction between the two. And the influence between them is asymmetrical, the spillover effect of virtual economy to real economy is much larger than that of entity economy, and the interactive development of virtual economy and real economy is in the "supply-guided" state. In terms of structure, various sectors of virtual economy are related to the real economy to varying degrees, in which the impact of stock market on the real economy is superior to that of other projects. Chapter 6th uses the dynamic method to analyze the growth path of the narrow fictitious economy. The fictitious economy will not expand infinitely, but will converge to a certain steady state value with the passage of time, and there is a moderate scale in the narrow fictitious economy. Chapter 7th puts forward some suggestions to further promote the benign interaction between virtual economy and real economy and prevent irrational bubble. Chapter 8th makes a preliminary prospect for the future research direction of the relationship between virtual economy and real economy.
【学位授予单位】：南昌大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2008
【分类号】：F019;F224

【引证文献】