风景名胜区旅游增长的非均衡性及其收敛研究

发布时间：2018-11-01 21:19

【摘要】：利用泰尔指数测算风景名胜区旅游增长的区域差异,并将其分解为区内差异和区际差异,同时借助新古典经济增长的收敛理论对风景名胜区旅游增长进行了收敛和条件收敛性研究,结果表明:总体上,风景名胜区旅游增长的区域差异特征明显,1982-2013年,T值降幅为19.32%,且总体降幅大于其他时段,说明风景区旅游发展长时间序列范围内的区域差异在整体上减小;整个研究时段,风景名胜区旅游增长呈现"三降三升"的变化趋势,收敛与不收敛呈现并存的局面,σ在加入了不同控制变量后的旅游增长并未呈现出一致的β收敛,不同的时空尺度表现出差异较大的收敛效果,进一步表明风景名胜区旅游增长区域差异缩小的持续性且不稳定,收敛于相同的稳态均衡水平尚需时间。
[Abstract]:The regional differences of tourism growth in scenic spots are estimated by using the Thiel index, and they are decomposed into regional differences and inter-regional differences. At the same time, with the help of the convergence theory of neoclassical economic growth, the paper studies the convergence and conditional convergence of tourism growth in scenic spots. The results show that, in general, the regional differences of tourism growth in scenic spots are obvious, 1982-2013. The decrease of T value is 19.3232, and the overall decrease is larger than that of other periods, which indicates that the regional differences in the long time series of tourism development of scenic spots decrease as a whole; During the whole study period, the tourism growth of scenic spots shows a trend of "three downgrades and three liters", and convergence and non-convergence coexist. The tourism growth of 蟽 with different control variables does not show a consistent 尾 convergence. Different spatio-temporal scales show different convergence effects, which further indicates that the regional differences in tourism growth in scenic spots are persistent and unstable, and it takes time to converge to the same stable equilibrium level.
【作者单位】：南京师范大学地理科学学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(41401144、41271149) 教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目(14YJC790003) 江苏省高校自然科学研究基金项目(14KJB170007) 江苏省高校哲学社会科学基金项目(2014SJB109)
【分类号】：F592.7

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