山东省旅游经济的时空演变格局探究

发布时间：2018-12-26 06:33

【摘要】：结合传统统计方法与空间数据分析方法,探究了2003—2010年来山东省区域旅游发展的时空演变规律,并分析了区域旅游发展的格局演变,得到主要结论:从重心的演化轨迹得出山东省旅游经济发展存在东西发展区域不平衡性,但有缩小趋势。通过计算全局空间自相关指数和区域旅游发展的局部关联性测度,说明地市间的旅游发展存在着明显的空间关联性,呈现出高值区被高值区包围,低值区被低值区包围的趋势。根据旅游冷热点区变换的比较,发现2003—2010年间山东省旅游增长的空间格局没有明显的跃迁,旅游增长热点区一直稳定地位于沿海地区,而冷点区同样在空间上表现出较稳定的特征,据此提出山东区域旅游发展对策。
[Abstract]:Combined with the traditional statistical method and spatial data analysis method, this paper probes into the temporal and spatial evolution law of regional tourism development in Shandong Province from 2003 to 2010, and analyzes the pattern evolution of regional tourism development. The main conclusions are as follows: from the evolution track of the center of gravity, it is concluded that the development of tourism economy in Shandong Province is unbalanced in the east and west, but tends to shrink. By calculating the global spatial autocorrelation index and the local correlation measure of regional tourism development, it is shown that there is an obvious spatial correlation in tourism development between different cities, showing the trend that high value area is surrounded by high value area and low value area is surrounded by low value area. On the basis of the comparison of the changes of tourism cold hot spots, it is found that the spatial pattern of tourism growth in Shandong Province has not changed obviously from 2003 to 2010, and the hot spots of tourism growth have been steadily located in coastal areas. But the cold spot area also displays the relatively stable characteristic in the space, accordingly puts forward the Shandong regional tourism development countermeasure.
【作者单位】：南京师范大学地理科学学院;南京大学地理信息科学系;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(41271128) 江苏省高校自然科学基础研究项目(11KJB170003) 江苏高校优势学科建设工程项目(地理学)
【分类号】：F592.7

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