外出务工、家庭老人特征及农村家庭贫困的关联研究

发布时间：2018-05-05 01:04

本文选题：外出务工 + 老人家庭　；参考：《人口与经济》2017年01期

【摘要】：采用随机效应面板泊松回归模型,运用中国健康与营养调查数据库中2006—2011年间四次调查面板数据,分析家庭外出特征及家庭老人特征与家庭贫困发生次数的关联性。实证结果显示,家庭外出次数、有无老人及老人生活质量等变量与家庭贫困发生次数有显著的相关性。进一步对家庭外出特征研究发现,家庭老人特征、贫困发生次数及上年是否从事农业等变量对外出特征有显著的影响,且外出次数与外出人数也呈现出显著相关性。为消除内生性影响,引入工具变量外出工资收入后,发现外出工资收入与外出次数、人数都有显著正相关性,老人生活质量变量显著负向影响家庭外出次数,家庭有无老人变量显著正向影响外出人数,老人有无慢性病变量显著负向影响外出人数。
[Abstract]:The random effect panel Poisson regression model was used to analyze the correlation between the characteristics of family out of home and elderly family characteristics and the incidence of family poverty by using four survey panel data from 2006 to 2011 in China Health and Nutrition Survey Database. The empirical results show that there is a significant correlation between the number of family outings, the existence of elderly people and the quality of life of the elderly and the incidence of family poverty. Further studies on the characteristics of family going out found that the characteristics of the elderly family, the incidence of poverty and whether or not engaged in agriculture in the previous year had a significant impact on the characteristics of going out, and there was a significant correlation between the number of times of going out and the number of people going out. In order to eliminate the endogenous influence, it was found that there was a significant positive correlation between the income and the number of outings, and the quality of life of the elderly had a significant negative effect on the number of family going out. There was a significant positive effect of family variables on the number of people going out, and whether the elderly had chronic diseases had a significant negative effect on the number of people going out.
【作者单位】：武汉大学社会保障研究中心;
【分类号】：C912.82;F323.8

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