陕西省碳排放与经济发展关联性研究

发布时间：2018-04-09 07:54

本文选题：碳排放　切入点：碳排放余额　出处：《西北大学学报(自然科学版)》2015年03期

【摘要】：研究陕西省碳排放量的测算,预测未来碳排放态势及对区域经济发展的影响。基于清单法和非线性最小二乘法,运用碳排放余额法和超对数模型模拟预测研究。测算了1991—2013年陕西省的碳排放余额,预测陕西省2020年的单位GDP碳排放余额为0.313 9,比2005年水平减少18%,且碳排放随着人均GDP增高逐步增大,但增幅以平均1.6%水平递减,因而,陕西省碳减排压力较大。针对陕西省碳排放情况,提出继续走区域低碳经济发展道路,提倡清洁能源研发和应用;提倡生态、循环、集约型的农业生产模式;提升区域居民的低碳环保意识;增加生态补偿力度等有效减排措施。
[Abstract]:This paper studies the calculation of carbon emissions in Shaanxi Province, predicts the future carbon emission situation and its impact on regional economic development.Based on inventory method and nonlinear least square method, carbon emission balance method and super-logarithmic model are used to simulate prediction.The carbon emission balance of Shaanxi Province from 1991 to 2013 is estimated to be 0.313 per unit GDP carbon emission balance in 2020, which is 18% lower than the 2005 level, and the carbon emission increases gradually with the increase of per capita GDP, but the increase is decreasing by an average of 1.6%.Shaanxi Province carbon abatement pressure is great.According to the situation of carbon emission in Shaanxi Province, it is proposed to continue to take the path of regional low-carbon economy development, promote the research and development and application of clean energy, promote ecological, circular and intensive agricultural production model, promote the awareness of low-carbon environmental protection of regional residents.Increase ecological compensation and other effective emission reduction measures.
【作者单位】：陕西师范大学国际商学院;西安文理学院数学与计算机工程学院;
【基金】：陕西省社科界重大理论与现实问题基金资助项目(2015Z029) 陕西省教育厅科学研究计划基金资助项目(11JK0337)
【分类号】：F127;X22

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