西安市用地结构和产业结构关系研究
发布时间：2018-11-18 21:11
【摘要】：区域产业结构不仅支持着区域经济的增长，而且在很大程度上决定着区域经济增长的能力和潜力，是区域城市化进程的主要特征，也是区域城市用地结构演变的主要动力和促进城市发展的真正动力。区域用地结构的演变作为产业结构调整的物质基础，二者相互促进，只有保证二者协调发展，，才能保证国民经济的持续、快速发展。 本文以西安市为例，探索西安市用地结构和产业结构的演替机制和内在联系，对于当前土地参与宏观调控具有重要的现实意义。 通过收集2003-2012年的城市土地利用和产业结构的时间序列数据，借助相关经济理论和数据分析方法，探讨近十年的土地利用结构和产业结构演变规律和特征，揭示二者之间的联动规律，并运用灰色预测模型对未来五年的产业结构进行科学预测，在此基础上提出西安市产业结构优化和用地结构调整的相关政策建议。 研究主要得出以下结论： （1）2003-2012年产业结构和用地结构均有变化 西安市产业结构自1990年至今一直呈现出“三、二、一”格局，优势产业带动效应不明显；十年间用地结构变化明显，主要体现在交通用地增长幅度最大，城镇村及工矿用地大量增加，耕地和园地处于减少状态。 （2）产业结构与用地结构相关性较强 西安市产业结构与土地利用结构具有很强的相关性，因此在今后产业结构变化与用地结构调整应充分考虑二者的相关性，实现土地资源和产业布局的有效配置，协调发展。 （3）2007年后产业变化滞后于用地结构变化 2007年后产业变化滞后于用地结构变化，这是由于产业结构调整没有及时跟进用地结构的变化速度所引起。 （4）预测2013-2017年二、三产业增加值占总产值的比重将逐步增加 第二产业、第三产业增加值占总产值的比重逐渐增加，同时发现二产、三产与林地、草地、交通用地呈正相关。 （5）西安市产业结构与用地结构的效能仍有进一步优化的空间 西安市产业结构与用地结构的效能指数E为0.7831，属于潜力级别的Ⅱ级，城市用地结构和产业发展趋于合理，但仍有进一步优化的空间。 （6）政策建议 未来几年西安市的发展中，结合西安市城市定位与城市职能，在土地供给时应充分考虑土地利用结构与产业结构的相关协调发展。
[Abstract]:The regional industrial structure not only supports the growth of regional economy, but also determines to a great extent the ability and potential of regional economic growth, which is the main characteristic of the process of regional urbanization. It is also the main driving force of the evolution of regional urban land use structure and the real power of promoting urban development. The evolution of regional land use structure as the material basis of industrial structure adjustment, the two promote each other, only to ensure the coordinated development of the two, can ensure the sustained and rapid development of the national economy. Taking Xi'an as an example, this paper explores the succession mechanism and internal relationship of land structure and industrial structure in Xi'an, which has important practical significance for land participation in macro-control at present. Through collecting the time series data of urban land use and industrial structure from 2003 to 2012, with the help of relevant economic theory and data analysis method, this paper discusses the evolution law and characteristics of land use structure and industrial structure in recent ten years. This paper reveals the law of linkage between the two and makes scientific prediction of the industrial structure in the next five years by using the grey forecasting model. On the basis of this, some policy suggestions on optimizing the industrial structure and adjusting the land use structure in Xi'an are put forward. The main conclusions are as follows: (1) from 2003 to 2012, the industrial structure and land use structure of Xi'an have changed, and the industrial structure of Xi'an has been showing "three, two, one" pattern since 1990, and the driving effect of superior industry is not obvious; The change of land use structure is obvious in the past ten years, mainly reflected in the biggest increase of traffic land, the increase of town, village, industry and mining land, and the decrease of cultivated land and garden land. (2) the correlation between industrial structure and land use structure is strong, so the correlation between industrial structure and land use structure should be fully considered in the future. To achieve the effective allocation of land resources and industrial distribution, coordinated development. (3) Industrial change lags behind land use structure change after 2007, which is caused by industrial structure adjustment not following the change speed of land structure in time. (4) it is predicted that in February 2013-2017, the proportion of the added value of the third industry to the gross output value will gradually increase in the secondary industry, and the proportion of the added value of the third industry in the total output value will gradually increase. Traffic land is positively correlated. (5) the efficiency index of industrial structure and land use structure in Xi'an is 0.7831, which belongs to the second grade of potential grade. Urban land use structure and industrial development tend to be reasonable, but there is still room for further optimization. (6) in the development of Xi'an in the next few years, considering the orientation and function of Xi'an city, we should fully consider the coordinated development of land use structure and industrial structure in land supply.
【学位授予单位】：长安大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F301.2;F121.3
本文编号：2341252
[Abstract]:The regional industrial structure not only supports the growth of regional economy, but also determines to a great extent the ability and potential of regional economic growth, which is the main characteristic of the process of regional urbanization. It is also the main driving force of the evolution of regional urban land use structure and the real power of promoting urban development. The evolution of regional land use structure as the material basis of industrial structure adjustment, the two promote each other, only to ensure the coordinated development of the two, can ensure the sustained and rapid development of the national economy. Taking Xi'an as an example, this paper explores the succession mechanism and internal relationship of land structure and industrial structure in Xi'an, which has important practical significance for land participation in macro-control at present. Through collecting the time series data of urban land use and industrial structure from 2003 to 2012, with the help of relevant economic theory and data analysis method, this paper discusses the evolution law and characteristics of land use structure and industrial structure in recent ten years. This paper reveals the law of linkage between the two and makes scientific prediction of the industrial structure in the next five years by using the grey forecasting model. On the basis of this, some policy suggestions on optimizing the industrial structure and adjusting the land use structure in Xi'an are put forward. The main conclusions are as follows: (1) from 2003 to 2012, the industrial structure and land use structure of Xi'an have changed, and the industrial structure of Xi'an has been showing "three, two, one" pattern since 1990, and the driving effect of superior industry is not obvious; The change of land use structure is obvious in the past ten years, mainly reflected in the biggest increase of traffic land, the increase of town, village, industry and mining land, and the decrease of cultivated land and garden land. (2) the correlation between industrial structure and land use structure is strong, so the correlation between industrial structure and land use structure should be fully considered in the future. To achieve the effective allocation of land resources and industrial distribution, coordinated development. (3) Industrial change lags behind land use structure change after 2007, which is caused by industrial structure adjustment not following the change speed of land structure in time. (4) it is predicted that in February 2013-2017, the proportion of the added value of the third industry to the gross output value will gradually increase in the secondary industry, and the proportion of the added value of the third industry in the total output value will gradually increase. Traffic land is positively correlated. (5) the efficiency index of industrial structure and land use structure in Xi'an is 0.7831, which belongs to the second grade of potential grade. Urban land use structure and industrial development tend to be reasonable, but there is still room for further optimization. (6) in the development of Xi'an in the next few years, considering the orientation and function of Xi'an city, we should fully consider the coordinated development of land use structure and industrial structure in land supply.
【学位授予单位】：长安大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F301.2;F121.3
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