吸毒人群增量的社会结构因素研究

发布时间：2019-08-01 19:50

【摘要】：自20世纪最后十年起,吸毒在中国日益成为一个显著的社会问题。中国社会科学界关于吸毒现象的研究,以定性研究和政策评估为主,且大多从吸毒者个体层面出发,去理解这一成瘾行为获得和戒除的社会机制。本文则尝试去回答这样一个问题,即在县级建制区层面,究竟哪些结构性因素决定了区域内毒情的发展趋势。利用公安部禁毒局网络数据终端"禁毒效果评估平台"中"区县信息"板块2006—2008三个年度的相关信息,采用负二项分布模型,以"新增吸毒人口数"这个反映区域毒品流行趋势的高效度指标为因变量,本文对理论假设的多组自变量——区域经济发展水平、区域(有助于毒情扩散的)风险因素和区域毒品社会控制力度——进行检验。作为以行政区域为分析单位的一个尝试性定量研究,为毒品控制这一研究领域贡献了初步的可积累知识。
[Abstract]:Since the last decade of the 20 th century, drug abuse has increasingly become a significant social problem in China. The research on drug abuse in Chinese social science community is mainly based on qualitative research and policy evaluation, and most of them understand the social mechanism of obtaining and abstinence from this addictive behavior from the individual level of drug users. This paper attempts to answer the question, that is, at the level of county-level construction areas, which structural factors determine the development trend of regional toxicity. Based on the relevant information of the "District and County Information" section of the network data terminal "Drug Control effect Evaluation platform" of the Ministry of Public Security in 2006 / 2008, and using the negative binomial distribution model, taking the "new drug abuse population" as the dependent variable, which reflects the regional drug epidemic trend, this paper makes a number of independent variables to the theoretical hypothesis-the level of regional economic development. Regional risk factors (contributing to the spread of drugs) and regional drug social control-test. As a tentative quantitative study with administrative area as an analytical unit, it has contributed a preliminary cumulative knowledge to the research field of drug control.
【作者单位】：北京大学社会学系;
【基金】：教育部人文社会科学规划项目(09YJA840001)
【分类号】：D669.8

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