物流业碳排放与能源消耗、经济增长关系的实证研究——以河南省为例

发布时间：2018-03-07 05:05

  本文选题：物流业　切入点：碳排放　出处：《系统科学学报》2017年02期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：在对2000-2013年河南省物流业碳排放测算基础上,基于协整检验、Granger检验、脉冲响应和方差分解分析法实证研究了物流业碳排放与能源消耗、经济增长之间的关系。研究表明,三者之间存在协同增长关系;物流业经济增长是碳排放的Granger原因,反之则不成立,这说明靠牺牲环境来获得经济增长的做法不可行;物流业经济增长与能源消耗对碳排放较大,其中经济增长贡献更多;物流业经济增长与碳排放的关系曲线呈波动幅度不断减小的“N”型趋势,随时间发展,经济增长对碳排放的影响逐渐减小。
[Abstract]:Based on the measurement of carbon emissions of logistics industry in Henan Province from 2000 to 2013, the relationship between carbon emissions and energy consumption and economic growth in logistics industry is studied empirically based on co-integration test and Granger test, pulse response and variance decomposition analysis. The economic growth of the logistics industry is the Granger cause of carbon emissions, otherwise it does not hold, which shows that it is not feasible to achieve economic growth at the expense of the environment; the economic growth of the logistics industry and energy consumption have a greater impact on carbon emissions. The relationship curve between economic growth and carbon emissions in logistics industry shows a "N" trend of decreasing fluctuation, and the influence of economic growth on carbon emissions decreases gradually with the development of time.
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