民营经济与区域经济协调发展的时空特征及驱动机制研究

发布时间：2018-05-24 00:10

本文选题：民营经济 + 区域经济　；参考：《商业研究》2017年09期

【摘要】：民营经济与区域经济相互影响、互动发展。基于全国30个省区1998-2014年民营经济与区域经济系统面板数据,借鉴耦合协调度模型,结合GIS对中国各省区民营经济与区域经济耦合协调度进行时间和空间格局分析。研究发现:时间维度表明,以2003年为转折点,民营经济综合发展指数呈下降趋势,2006年之后开始缓慢上升。区域经济综合发展指数波动平稳,表现出经济周期特征。各省民营经济与区域经济耦合度均值呈"W"型,表现下降趋势;空间格局表明,各地区民营经济指数与区域经济指数波动趋势基本一致,民营经济指数区域差异明显,整体表现出"东-中-西"特点,中部地区本身分化明显。省际间的耦合程度分布不平衡且差异明显,耦合度长期表现出高高相聚和低低相聚的分化格局;通过时差相关分析得出,民营经济综合指数是区域经济综合指数的先行指标,具有预警功能;各类影响因素中,研发支出与上市公司对耦合度影响最显著。研究表明,民营经济与区域经济发展存在密切的互动作用,在经济新常态下推动区域经济转型升级,二者的协同发展具有重要的现实意义。
[Abstract]:Private economy and regional economy influence each other, interactive development. Based on the panel data of private economy and regional economy system from 1998 to 2014 in 30 provinces and regions in China, the paper analyzes the time and space pattern of the coupling coordination degree between private economy and regional economy in China by using coupling coordination degree model and GIS. It is found that the time dimension shows that the comprehensive development index of the private economy shows a downward trend with 2003 as the turning point and then begins to rise slowly after 2006. The regional economic comprehensive development index fluctuates steadily, showing the characteristic of economic cycle. The average value of the coupling degree between the private economy and the regional economy in each province is "W", showing a downward trend, and the spatial pattern shows that the fluctuation trend of the private economy index is basically the same as that of the regional economy index, and the regional difference of the private economy index is obvious. The whole shows the characteristics of "east-middle-west", and the central region itself is clearly differentiated. The coupling degree between provinces is not balanced and the difference is obvious, the coupling degree shows the differentiation pattern of high and low gathering for a long time; through the time difference correlation analysis, it is concluded that the private economy comprehensive index is the leading index of the regional economic comprehensive index. It has the function of early warning, among which R & D expenditure and listed companies have the most significant influence on coupling degree. The study shows that there is a close interaction between private economy and regional economic development, and it is of great practical significance to promote the transformation and upgrading of regional economy under the new normal state of economy.
【作者单位】：西安交通大学经济与金融学院;
【基金】：国家社科基金项目“‘一带一路’战略下OFDI促进西部地区产业转型升级问题研究”,项目编号:16BJY086
【分类号】：F127;F276.5

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