“一带一路”倡议下中国对外投资的产业选择
发布时间：2018-07-27 15:22
【摘要】：根据技术等级将出口商品进行分类,选取"一带一路"沿线38个国家(地区)为样本,采用显示性比较优势指数和贸易特化指数对中国35类工业制成品相对沿线国家(地区)的竞争力现状、变化和互补性进行研究。并在此基础上,针对中国对沿线国家(地区)投资的产业进行了选择。研究发现,我国工业制成品竞争力呈W型分布,低技术制成品竞争力较强,资源型、中技术制成品缺乏优势,高技术制成品优势下降;中国与沿线国家(地区)以产业间互补为主,高技术制成品中没有出现竞争力较强的互补产品。在投资策略上,应提高与东道国的产业关联程度,加快国内优势产业的国际产业链布局,加快国内过剩产能转移,推动国内低端制造业升级,加大技术学习类投资,增加国内高技术产业出口竞争优势。
[Abstract]:According to the technical grade, the export commodities are classified, and 38 countries (regions) along "Belt and Road" are selected as samples. The present situation, changes and complementarities of the competitiveness of 35 kinds of manufactured goods in China relative to the countries (regions) along the route are studied by using the index of comparative advantage and the index of trade specialization. On this basis, the industry of China's investment in the countries (regions) along the route is selected. It is found that the competitiveness of manufactured products in China is W-type, the competitiveness of low-technology manufactured products is stronger, the resource-based ones, the mid-technology manufactured products lack of advantages, and the advantages of high-tech manufactured products decline. The complementary products between China and other countries (regions) are mainly among industries, and there are no competitive complementary products in high-tech manufactured products. In terms of investment strategy, we should increase the degree of industrial connection with the host country, speed up the layout of international industrial chain of domestic superior industries, speed up the transfer of domestic excess capacity, promote the upgrading of domestic low-end manufacturing industries, and increase investment in technological learning. We will increase the competitive advantage of domestic high-tech industries in export.
【作者单位】： 江西省发展改革研究院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重大委托项目暨中国特色社会主义理论体系研究中心重大项目“长江经济带建设战略引领下沿江地区经济发展路径研究”(项目编号:2015YZD16)
【分类号】：F125
[Abstract]:According to the technical grade, the export commodities are classified, and 38 countries (regions) along "Belt and Road" are selected as samples. The present situation, changes and complementarities of the competitiveness of 35 kinds of manufactured goods in China relative to the countries (regions) along the route are studied by using the index of comparative advantage and the index of trade specialization. On this basis, the industry of China's investment in the countries (regions) along the route is selected. It is found that the competitiveness of manufactured products in China is W-type, the competitiveness of low-technology manufactured products is stronger, the resource-based ones, the mid-technology manufactured products lack of advantages, and the advantages of high-tech manufactured products decline. The complementary products between China and other countries (regions) are mainly among industries, and there are no competitive complementary products in high-tech manufactured products. In terms of investment strategy, we should increase the degree of industrial connection with the host country, speed up the layout of international industrial chain of domestic superior industries, speed up the transfer of domestic excess capacity, promote the upgrading of domestic low-end manufacturing industries, and increase investment in technological learning. We will increase the competitive advantage of domestic high-tech industries in export.
【作者单位】： 江西省发展改革研究院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重大委托项目暨中国特色社会主义理论体系研究中心重大项目“长江经济带建设战略引领下沿江地区经济发展路径研究”(项目编号:2015YZD16)
【分类号】：F125
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