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“一带一路”下中国对外直接投资区位选择研究

发布时间:2019-06-15 01:09
【摘要】:“一带一路”战略构想的不断实施,必然为进一步开拓我国对外直接投资市场提供广阔的发展空间和广泛的市场机遇。在此背景下,我国企业如何充分利用“一带一路”战略实施这一发展机遇,更好的对“一带一路”沿线国家进行适应性区位选择,是今后进一步推进“一带一路”战略顺利实施的重要环节。本文从境外投资区位选择的相关理论和文献梳理入手,并对我国“一带一路”沿线国家直接投资的空间布局、产业布局状况进行深入分析,反映出我国对沿线国家投资布局差异性和产业选择多样性的投资特点。在明确布局状况下,分析进行投资区位选择的影响因素,选取“一带一路”沿线61国作为样本国,将所分析的经济因素、政治因素、成本因素和科技因素的相关指标作为变量,利用2004-2015年间的面板数据,通过固定效应模型进行多元回归分析,检验我国企业对“一带一路”国家直接投资区位选择与各个变量之间的影响关系,得出我国对沿线直接投资多倾向于经济欠发达地区,而由于东道国政治社会状况对我国对外直接投资具有显著正影响,所以我国在向具有政治风险的东道国投资多是以获取稀缺资源为目的的结论。根据对区位选择影响因素的实证研究,结合因子分析法对“一带一路”沿线国家的投资环境进行评估排名,同样表明政治经济因素和外资吸引力因素所占权重最大,通过因子分析得出我国对沿线区位选择最多的是亚太地区,中东欧地区投资潜力较大。针对不同的投资动机和挑战,分别制定出按投资目的进行区位选择的方案,并同时对各区域内国家的差异化投资提出相应策略,以期对我国企业进行对外直接投资区位选择具有一定的借鉴意义。
[Abstract]:The continuous implementation of Belt and Road Initiative's strategic conception is bound to provide a broad space for development and a wide range of market opportunities for the further development of China's foreign direct investment market. Under this background, how to make full use of the development opportunity of the implementation of the "Belt and Road Initiative" strategy and make a better adaptive location choice for the countries along the "Belt and Road Initiative" is an important link to further promote the smooth implementation of the "Belt and Road Initiative" strategy in the future. This paper starts with the relevant theories and literature of overseas investment location choice, and makes a deep analysis on the spatial layout and industrial layout of direct investment in countries along the "Belt and Road Initiative" route of our country, which reflects the investment characteristics of the difference of investment layout and the diversity of industrial choice in the countries along the route. Under the condition of clear layout, this paper analyzes the influencing factors of investment location selection, selects 61 countries along "Belt and Road Initiative" as sample countries, takes the relevant indicators of economic factors, political factors, cost factors and scientific and technological factors as variables, and makes multiple regression analysis through fixed effect model using panel data from 2004 to 2015. By testing the influence of Chinese enterprises on the location choice of "Belt and Road Initiative" national direct investment and various variables, it is concluded that most of China's direct investment along the route tends to be economically underdeveloped areas, and because the political and social situation of the host country has a significant positive impact on China's foreign direct investment, most of China's investment in host countries with political risks is aimed at obtaining scarce resources. According to the empirical study on the influencing factors of location choice, combined with factor analysis, the investment environment of countries along "Belt and Road Initiative" is evaluated and ranked, which also shows that political and economic factors and foreign capital attraction factors have the largest weight. Through factor analysis, it is concluded that the Asia-Pacific region has the most location choice along the route, and the investment potential of Central and Eastern Europe is greater. In view of different investment motivations and challenges, this paper formulates the schemes of location selection according to the investment purpose, and puts forward the corresponding strategies for the differentiated investment of countries in each region, in order to have certain reference significance for Chinese enterprises to choose the location of foreign direct investment.
【学位授予单位】:河北大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2017
【分类号】:F125

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