我国省际区域经济差异与技术选择的时间演变分析

发布时间：2017-12-30 18:46

本文关键词：我国省际区域经济差异与技术选择的时间演变分析　出处：《暨南大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：区域经济发展的平衡与否始终是研究我国总体经济发展的核心问题之一，但是运用技术选择理论来探讨我国内部各地区经济发展差距的文献却不多，这显然给本文的研究提供了一个很好的方向。本文着重研究我国区域经济差异与技术选择的关系，主要研究内容包括四部分：首先，比较测算区域差异的不同方法，选取最合适的测算方法表示我国区域经济差异水平，并分析我国各区域经济发展差异的演变过程与未来变动趋势；然后，在分析我国各区域资本存量变动轨迹的基础上，计算各个区域技术选择值的变化过程并分类分析；再次，通过模型的比较分析，，建立适宜的面板数据模型，综合分析我国各区域技术选择对区域经济发展差异的影响，将我国31个省市自治区按两者关系进行分类归纳；最后，给出减少区域差异的可行性建议。研究结果：（1）经过对不同测算方法优劣势的比较，本文选用“省际边缘差异法”来测算我国区域经济发展差异值，发现我国区域经济差异变动不符合倒“U”假说，沿海省市和中、西部人口数目多的省份（四川、河南等）边缘差异值比重大，优先提高我国省际边缘差异值比重大的省份，有助于更快速更显著地减少我国省际间差异；（2）我国各省市正处于经济发展第二、第三阶段，经济增长依赖于资本和劳动力，沿海地区和中部的湖北，北方的内蒙古和黑龙江的技术选择指数大，中部大多省份的技术选择值低于西部不发达省份，分析得出技术选择值不是越大越好，找到适宜该省市发展的技术选择才是经济发展的正向途径；（3）建立变系数变截距面板模型，发现大多数技术知识密集型省份（中国沿海地区）、少量偏资本密集型省份当前的技术选择是适宜经济发展的，保持当前技术选择类型有助于提高经济水平，缩小区域差异，主要劳动密集型省份的技术选择对经济发展起负作用，应该转变技术选择类型，使其适宜经济的发展，此部分是本文的创新之一，将描述差异的“边缘差异值”、描述各地区技术选择的“技术选择指数值”和表明两者之间关系的“技术选择指数系数”、“个体固定人均GDP差异倾向”结合分析，做到让结果更真实更有意义。
[Abstract]:The balance of regional economic development is always one of the core issues in the study of the overall economic development of China, but there are few documents using the theory of technology choice to explore the economic development gap in various regions of our country. This obviously provides a good direction for the study of this paper. This paper focuses on the relationship between regional economic differences and technological choice in China. The main research content includes four parts: first. Compare the different methods of measuring regional differences, select the most appropriate method to express the level of regional economic differences in China, and analyze the evolution process and future trends of regional economic development differences in China. Then, on the basis of analyzing the change track of regional capital stock in China, the change process of each regional technology selection value is calculated and classified. Thirdly, through the comparative analysis of the model, set up a suitable panel data model, comprehensive analysis of the impact of regional technology selection on regional economic development differences. The 31 provinces and autonomous regions in China are classified and summarized according to the relationship between the two. Finally, some feasible suggestions to reduce regional differences are given. Through the comparison of the advantages and disadvantages of different measuring methods, this paper chooses the "provincial margin difference method" to calculate the regional economic development difference value of our country. It is found that the variation of regional economic differences in China does not accord with the inverted "U" hypothesis, and the marginal differences in coastal provinces and provinces with large populations in the western part of the country (Sichuan, Henan, etc.) have a large proportion. It is helpful to reduce the difference between provinces more rapidly and significantly by giving priority to the provinces with a large proportion of the provincial margin difference. China's provinces and cities are in the second and third stage of economic development, economic growth depends on capital and labor, coastal areas and central Hubei, northern Inner Mongolia and Heilongjiang technology choice index is large. The technological choice value of most provinces in central China is lower than that of the underdeveloped provinces in the west. The analysis shows that the greater the technological choice value is, the better the technological choice is, and finding the technological choice suitable for the development of the province and city is the positive way of economic development. 3) the variable coefficient variable intercept panel model is established, and it is found that the current technology selection of most of the technology-intensive provinces (coastal areas of China, a small number of capital-intensive provinces) is suitable for economic development. Maintaining the current type of technology choice is helpful to improve the economic level and reduce regional differences. The choice of technology in the main labor-intensive provinces plays a negative role in economic development, and the type of technology choice should be changed. To make it suitable for economic development, this part is one of the innovations of this paper, which will describe the "margin difference value" of the difference. The "technical choice index value", the "technical choice index coefficient" which indicates the relationship between the two, and the combination analysis of "individual fixed per capita GDP difference tendency" are used to describe the technological choice index value of each region. Make the results more real and meaningful.
【学位授予单位】：暨南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F224;F127

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