安徽省城镇化与产业结构协调发展研究

发布时间：2018-09-17 09:17

【摘要】：城镇化与产业结构发展水平是衡量区域经济发展水平的重要标志，二者之间的协调发展是促进区域经济增长的重要动力。经过多年的发展，安徽省城镇化与产业结构发展都取得了很大成绩，但仍存在诸多问题，特别是城镇化与产业结构总体上尚未实现良性互动和协调发展，，从而制约了整个经济社会的持续健康发展。进入“十二五”以后是安徽省城镇化与产业结构协调发展、加快转变经济发展方式的新时期，因此，如何在现有的基础上实现城镇化与产业结构协调发展是安徽省经济社会发展面临的重大课题。本文以系统耦合为研究视角，以区域经济学、产业经济学、计量经济学、系统科学等相关学科的理论为基础，并运用文献归纳法、计量分析等方法，对安徽省城镇化与产业结构协调发展状况进行分析。首先，对国内外学者对城镇化与产业结构相关研究进行回顾，在此基础上介绍了城镇化与产业结构内涵和研究理论基础。其次，对安徽省城镇化与产业结构发展现状进行分析，并分析城镇化与产业结构发展中存在的问题，同时根据钱纳里模型揭示了安徽省的城镇化发展是滞后于产业结构发展水平的。再次，揭示了城镇化与产业结构相互作用的机理，并运用VAR模型对城镇化与产业之间相互作用的关系进行衡量和评价，在此基础上测算了城镇化与产业结构综合指数，并根据系统论原理运用耦合协调度模型，分别从时间维度和空间维度对安徽省城镇化与产业结构系统的耦合协调度进行测算并加以比较，力求准确、全面的把握现阶段安徽省城镇化与产业结构协调发展状况。最后，针对安徽省城镇化滞后于产业结构发展的问题，提出了促进城镇化与产业结构协调发展政策建议。
[Abstract]:Urbanization and the level of industrial structure development are important signs to measure the level of regional economic development, and the coordinated development between them is an important driving force to promote regional economic growth. After years of development, great achievements have been made in urbanization and industrial structure development in Anhui Province, but there are still many problems, especially urbanization and industrial structure as a whole have not yet achieved benign interaction and coordinated development. Thus restricting the whole economic and social sustainable and healthy development. After entering the 12th Five-Year Plan, it is a new period for the coordinated development of urbanization and industrial structure in Anhui Province and for speeding up the transformation of the mode of economic development. How to realize the coordinated development of urbanization and industrial structure on the existing basis is an important subject facing the economic and social development of Anhui Province. Based on the theories of regional economics, industrial economics, econometrics, systems science and so on, this paper uses the methods of literature induction and econometric analysis. This paper analyzes the coordinated development of urbanization and industrial structure in Anhui Province. Firstly, this paper reviews the research on urbanization and industrial structure at home and abroad, and then introduces the connotation and theoretical basis of urbanization and industrial structure. Secondly, it analyzes the current situation of urbanization and industrial structure development in Anhui Province, and analyzes the problems existing in urbanization and industrial structure development. At the same time, it reveals that the urbanization of Anhui Province lags behind the level of industrial structure. Thirdly, it reveals the mechanism of the interaction between urbanization and industrial structure, and uses VAR model to measure and evaluate the relationship between urbanization and industry, and then calculates the comprehensive index of urbanization and industrial structure. According to the principle of system theory, this paper calculates and compares the coupling coordination degree of urbanization and industrial structure system in Anhui Province from time dimension and space dimension by using coupling coordination degree model. Fully grasp the current situation of coordinated development of urbanization and industrial structure in Anhui Province. Finally, aiming at the problem that the urbanization of Anhui province lags behind the development of industrial structure, the paper puts forward some policy suggestions to promote the coordinated development of urbanization and industrial structure.
【学位授予单位】：安徽工业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F299.27;F127

【参考文献】