民族自治区经济增长方式转变的实证研究
发布时间：2018-11-15 17:58
【摘要】：改革开放以来，五个民族自治区的经济增长取得了令人瞩目的成绩，有研究表明，我国中西部地区特别是民族自治区的经济增长速度已经明显超过了东部地区。那么，民族自治区的经济增长以及投入要素情况与全国平均水平以及发达地区之间究竟存在着多大的差距？物质资本投入、人力资本投入以及全要素生产率在促进民族自治区经济增长时，分别起到了多大的作用？民族自治区的经济增长方式是否已经发生了转变？怎样才能更好地促进民族自治区经济有效而平稳地增长？这些都是值得研究和有待解决的问题。 本文在系统梳理宏观经济学中经济增长理论的基础上，选取生产函数模型、卢卡斯人力资本溢出模型和全要素生产率理论，以计量经济学和统计学的方法分别对五个民族自治区的经济增长方式进行了实证分析。通过与全国平均水平以及发达城市上海的经济情况做横向对比，以及不同时段上的纵向对比，文章分析了五个民族自治区各投入要素、经济增长的变化趋势，以及各时段各要素对经济增长的贡献大小，得出了民族自治区经济增长所处的方式。并结合相关经济增长理论，对民族自治区今后的经济发展提出了建议。 通过研究，本文得到：①民族自治区近年来的物质资本积累速度和经济增长速度都较高，2001年至2010年间，五个民族自治区的物质资本存量平均增长速度都超过了全国平均水平，1978年至2010年间，五个民族自治区经济的平均增长速度都超过了全国平均水平。②民族自治区经济增长主要依赖物质资本存量的积累，但物质资本存量对经济增长的促进作用近年来有所下降。③民族自治区就业人口的劳动力质量逐步提高，人力资本外溢作用明显，，劳动力质量对经济增长的促进作用已越来越显著。④民族自治区的技术水平不高，经济增长方式还属于主要依靠要素投入的粗放型增长方式。 针对以上分析，文章提出建议：①优化民族自治区的投资结构，注重物质资本的使用效率。②巩固基础教育，加强职业教育，开发配置和利用好民族自治区的人力资本。③提高民族自治区的科技的自主创新能力，积极转变民族自治区的经济增长方式，实现经济和社会的可持续发展。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, the economic growth of the five ethnic autonomous regions has made remarkable achievements. Some studies show that the economic growth rate of the central and western regions, especially the ethnic autonomous regions, has obviously exceeded that of the eastern region. So, what is the gap between the economic growth and input factors of the autonomous regions and the average level of the country and the developed regions? Material capital investment, human capital investment and total factor productivity in promoting the economic growth of autonomous regions, played a role in how much? Has the pattern of economic growth in the autonomous regions changed? How can we better promote the economic growth of autonomous regions effectively and steadily? These are worthy of study and need to be solved. On the basis of systematically combing the economic growth theory in macroeconomics, this paper selects the production function model, Lucas human capital spillover model and total factor productivity theory. Econometrics and statistics are used to analyze the economic growth patterns of the five ethnic autonomous regions. By making a horizontal comparison with the national average level and the economic situation in Shanghai, a developed city, as well as a longitudinal comparison in different periods of time, the article analyzes the investment elements of the five ethnic autonomous regions and the changing trend of economic growth. And the contribution of each factor to economic growth in each period of time, the way of economic growth of ethnic autonomous region is obtained. Combined with the relevant economic growth theory, the future economic development of the autonomous region is suggested. Through the research, this paper obtains: 1 the material capital accumulation speed and the economic growth speed of the national autonomous region in recent years are higher, the five national autonomous regions' material capital stock average growth speed has exceeded the national average level between 2001 and 2010. Between 1978 and 2010, the average economic growth rate of the five autonomous regions exceeded the national average. 2 the economic growth of the autonomous regions mainly depends on the accumulation of material capital. However, the effect of material capital stock on economic growth has declined in recent years. 3. The labor quality of the employed population in the ethnic autonomous region has been gradually improved, and the spillover effect of human capital has been evident. The quality of labor force has played a more and more important role in promoting economic growth. (4) the technical level of the autonomous region is not high, and the mode of economic growth belongs to the extensive growth mode, which mainly depends on the input of elements. In view of the above analysis, the paper puts forward some suggestions: 1 optimizing the investment structure of the autonomous region, paying attention to the efficiency of the use of material capital, consolidating the basic education, strengthening the vocational education, To develop and allocate the human capital of the autonomous regions. 3 to improve the independent innovation ability of the autonomous regions in science and technology, to actively change the mode of economic growth of the autonomous regions, and to realize the sustainable development of the economy and society.
【学位授予单位】：中南民族大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F127
本文编号：2334031
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, the economic growth of the five ethnic autonomous regions has made remarkable achievements. Some studies show that the economic growth rate of the central and western regions, especially the ethnic autonomous regions, has obviously exceeded that of the eastern region. So, what is the gap between the economic growth and input factors of the autonomous regions and the average level of the country and the developed regions? Material capital investment, human capital investment and total factor productivity in promoting the economic growth of autonomous regions, played a role in how much? Has the pattern of economic growth in the autonomous regions changed? How can we better promote the economic growth of autonomous regions effectively and steadily? These are worthy of study and need to be solved. On the basis of systematically combing the economic growth theory in macroeconomics, this paper selects the production function model, Lucas human capital spillover model and total factor productivity theory. Econometrics and statistics are used to analyze the economic growth patterns of the five ethnic autonomous regions. By making a horizontal comparison with the national average level and the economic situation in Shanghai, a developed city, as well as a longitudinal comparison in different periods of time, the article analyzes the investment elements of the five ethnic autonomous regions and the changing trend of economic growth. And the contribution of each factor to economic growth in each period of time, the way of economic growth of ethnic autonomous region is obtained. Combined with the relevant economic growth theory, the future economic development of the autonomous region is suggested. Through the research, this paper obtains: 1 the material capital accumulation speed and the economic growth speed of the national autonomous region in recent years are higher, the five national autonomous regions' material capital stock average growth speed has exceeded the national average level between 2001 and 2010. Between 1978 and 2010, the average economic growth rate of the five autonomous regions exceeded the national average. 2 the economic growth of the autonomous regions mainly depends on the accumulation of material capital. However, the effect of material capital stock on economic growth has declined in recent years. 3. The labor quality of the employed population in the ethnic autonomous region has been gradually improved, and the spillover effect of human capital has been evident. The quality of labor force has played a more and more important role in promoting economic growth. (4) the technical level of the autonomous region is not high, and the mode of economic growth belongs to the extensive growth mode, which mainly depends on the input of elements. In view of the above analysis, the paper puts forward some suggestions: 1 optimizing the investment structure of the autonomous region, paying attention to the efficiency of the use of material capital, consolidating the basic education, strengthening the vocational education, To develop and allocate the human capital of the autonomous regions. 3 to improve the independent innovation ability of the autonomous regions in science and technology, to actively change the mode of economic growth of the autonomous regions, and to realize the sustainable development of the economy and society.
【学位授予单位】：中南民族大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F127
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