限制开发区域农户薪柴消费的影响因素分析——以云南省怒江州为例

发布时间：2018-12-05 22:42

【摘要】：以位于国家限制开发区域的云南省怒江州为例,利用654份农户调查问卷和logistic回归模型对农户薪柴消费的影响因素进行了实证分析。研究表明:农户薪柴消费与家庭总人口、是否外出打工、所在行政村是否在自然保护区、所在行政村海拔是否大于2000 m、所在行政村到县城的距离正相关,与上年现金支出、是否有现金补贴、住房条件负相关。在保持其他变量不变的前提下,所在行政村海拔大于2000 m的农户使用薪柴的概率比海拔在2000 m以下的农户高64.70%;在自然保护区的农户消费薪柴的概率是自然保护区外农户的3.26倍;所在行政村到最近县城的距离每增加1 km,农户使用薪柴的概率增加6.12%;对农户进行现金补贴会使薪柴消费概率下降38.39%。在此基础上,对限制开发区域的环保政策、财政政策、人口政策、产业政策、投资政策提出了有针对性的调整建议。
[Abstract]:Taking Nujiang Prefecture, Yunnan Province, as an example, the influencing factors of household fuelwood consumption were analyzed by using 654 peasant household questionnaires and logistic regression model. The study shows that the consumption of firewood by farmers is related to the total household population, whether they work outside the country, whether the administrative village is in a nature reserve, whether the altitude of the administrative village is more than 2000 m.The distance from the administrative village to the county seat is positively related to the cash expenditure of the previous year. Whether there is a cash subsidy, housing conditions are negatively correlated. On the premise of keeping other variables unchanged, the probability of using fuelwood was 64.70m higher in the administrative village with an altitude of more than 2000 m than that of the farmer below 2000 m above sea level. The probability of consuming fuelwood by farmers in nature reserve was 3.26 times than that outside nature reserve, and the probability of using fuelwood was increased by 6.12for each increase in the distance from the administrative village to the nearest county town by 1 km,. The probability of fuelwood consumption will be reduced 38.39 by cash subsidy to farmers. On the basis of this, some suggestions are put forward for the adjustment of environmental protection policy, fiscal policy, population policy, industrial policy and investment policy.
【作者单位】：中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所;中国科学院区域可持续发展分析与模拟重点实验室;中国科学院大学;中国科学院大学科技管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(41271146) 中国科学院重点部署项目(KZZD-EW-06)
【分类号】：F126.1;F323.22

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