三峡库区应急资源鲁棒优化配置研究

发布时间：2018-02-01 07:05

本文关键词： 交通运输工程三峡库区不确定需求鲁棒优化应急资源配置　出处：《重庆交通大学学报(自然科学版)》2017年11期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：按照海事管辖范围划分三峡库区水域,并以国家相关规定为依据,综合考虑水域风险,分析三峡库区各水域应急资源的不确定需求.在探讨水上救助基地应急资源配置机理的基础上,以应急资源配置总损失和总时间最小为目标,构建三峡库区水上救助基地应急资源鲁棒优化配置模型.以巡逻船为例,得到各种不确定需求情形下的巡逻船配置优化方案.研究结论表明:鲁棒优化配置方案基本能实现总配置效果优化。当扰动需求总数位于中间值时,三峡库区水上救助基地巡逻船配置系统表现出较好的稳定性,此时巡逻船的机动性较强,巡逻船配置总量最低。研究成果有助于决策者的风险偏好选择,实际应用意义较强,也可为内河相似水域应急资源配置提供决策参考。
[Abstract]:The waters of the three Gorges Reservoir area are divided into three Gorges Reservoir area according to the maritime jurisdiction, and the risk of the three Gorges Reservoir area is considered comprehensively according to the relevant regulations of the State. On the basis of discussing the mechanism of emergency resource allocation in water rescue base, the objective is to minimize the total loss and total time of emergency resource allocation. A robust optimal allocation model of emergency resources for water rescue base in the three Gorges Reservoir area is constructed. A patrol ship is taken as an example. The optimal scheme of patrol ship configuration under uncertain demand is obtained. The research results show that the robust optimal configuration scheme can basically achieve the overall configuration effect optimization, when the total disturbance demand is in the middle value. The patrol ship configuration system of the water rescue base in the three Gorges reservoir area shows good stability. At this time, the patrol ship has strong maneuverability and the total patrol ship configuration is the lowest. The research results are helpful to the decision makers' risk preference choice. The practical application is of great significance, and can also provide a decision reference for the allocation of emergency resources in similar inland waters.
【作者单位】：武汉理工大学交通学院;武汉理工大学智能交通系统研究中心;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(51279153)
【分类号】：U698
【正文快照】： 0引言三峡库区位于山区河流,河道弯曲,水上险情多发,在三峡库区实施水上应急救援时,应急资源是人命财产救助的关键应急力量,也是海事管理部门实施水上安全监管和环境保护的主要保障资源,《国家水上交通安全监管和救助系统布局规划》初步规划了三峡库区水上应急救援救助综合基

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