新型城镇化背景下小城镇公交规划方法研究

发布时间：2019-03-02 21:19

【摘要】：2014年,国家倡导新型城镇化,随之城市趋向郊区伸展,促使原来的郊区演化成大城市的组团或成为构成城市带、城市群中的众多小城之一。随着小城镇的快速建设,镇(乡)与中心城之间的联系越来越密切,仅依靠现有的城乡客运公交系统已无法适应镇区之间乘客的公交出行需求,小城镇居民出行难。在这种情况下,作为解决小城镇居民出行问题的一种主要手段,建设功能完善的小城镇县域公交系统迫在眉睫。其中小城镇公交客流需求预测、公交建设规模的确定、公交线路及站点的布设、公交车辆配备等是完善小城镇公交系统的关键技术。论文在分析小城镇居民出行特点及数据来源易获取性的基础上建立并标定了小城镇公交客流需求预测的二元回归模型;根据小城镇公交营收与成本及本地区的公共服务业平均利润率水平建立了小城镇公交投资金额与长度规模的相关关系模型及基于客位利用率的运能规模模型;根据公交线路长度、建设规模、投资金额及单位里程的公交线路重要度建立了小城镇公交网络生成模型;根据公交车辆容量限制、发车间隔限制、公交乘客出行的总时间及公交企业的费用支出建立了高峰时段小城镇公交线路车辆配备模型。论文以山东省商河县为例,验证了提出的新型城镇化背景下小城镇公交规划理论与方法的可行性。
[Abstract]:In 2014, the state advocated a new type of urbanization, followed by the extension of the city to the suburbs, prompting the original suburbs to evolve into clusters of large cities or become one of the many small cities in the urban agglomeration. With the rapid construction of small towns, the relationship between the town (township) and the central city becomes more and more close. The existing urban and rural passenger transit system can not meet the needs of passengers between towns and cities, and it is difficult for small town residents to travel. In this case, as one of the main means to solve the travel problem of small town residents, it is urgent to build a fully functional county bus system in small towns. The key technologies to improve the public transportation system in small towns are the forecast of passenger flow demand, the determination of bus construction scale, the layout of bus lines and stations, and the allocation of public transport vehicles. On the basis of analyzing the travel characteristics of small town residents and the accessibility of data sources, the paper establishes and calibrates a binary regression model for forecasting the passenger flow of public transport in small cities and towns. According to the revenue and cost of public transport in small towns and the average profit margin level of the public service industry in this area, the correlation model between the investment amount and the length of public transport in small towns and the capacity scale model based on passenger utilization rate are established. According to the length of bus line, the construction scale, the investment amount and the importance of the bus line per unit mileage, the generation model of public transport network in small towns is established. According to the limit of bus capacity, the limit of departure interval, the total travel time of bus passengers and the expenditure of public transport enterprises, a model of bus line and vehicle allocation in small towns during peak hours is established. Taking Shanghe County of Shandong Province as an example, this paper verifies the feasibility of the proposed theory and method of public transportation planning in small towns under the background of new urbanization.
【学位授予单位】：哈尔滨工业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：U491.17

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