扩展计划行为理论框架下基于MIMIC模型的城际出行行为分析
发布时间：2018-07-15 09:35
【摘要】：为了缓解都市圈城际交通走廊不断增加的交通压力,我国近年来实施了很多投入巨大的高铁建设项目,为了更加有效和准确的评估这些项目,就有必要对城际出行行为进行分析。本文基于扩展的计划行为理论框架,通过构造多指标多因果模型,同时从社会经济统计特征和心理因素两个角度分析都市圈城际出行者对普通列车、高铁和长途汽车这三种方式的选择行为。通过实证研究发现,出行者的社会经济统计特征对模型中的一些潜变量有不同程度的显著影响,并且新增加的潜变量"描述性规范"和"行为习惯"对方式选择行为及意向都有显著的直接或间接影响。根据扩展计划行为理论各要素对都市圈城际方式选择行为和意向的影响及相互关系,结合出行者社会经济统计特征的差异,可以有针对性的制定都市圈城际运输供给信息和政策,为都市圈交通系统的优化提供基础的理论支持。最后给出了心理模型在城际出行方式选择行为领域进一步研究的建议。
[Abstract]:In order to alleviate the increasing traffic pressure in the intercity traffic corridor of the metropolitan area, China has implemented a lot of high speed railway construction projects in recent years. In order to evaluate these projects effectively and accurately, it is necessary to analyze the intercity travel behavior. Based on the extended planned behavior theory, this paper constructs a multi index multi cause. At the same time, from two angles of social and economic statistical characteristics and psychological factors, this paper analyzes the three ways of urban Intercity Travelers' choice behavior to ordinary trains, high speed trains and long-distance buses. The added latent variable "descriptive norm" and "behavior habit" have significant direct or indirect effects on the behavior and intention of the mode selection. According to the influence and relationship of the elements of the extended planned behavior theory on the behavior and intention of the intercity mode of urban circle, the difference of the socioeconomic statistical characteristics of the traveler can be targeted. The information and policy of intercity transportation supply in the metropolitan area are formulated, and the theoretical support for the optimization of urban traffic system is provided. Finally, some suggestions on the further study of the psychological model in the field of intercity travel mode selection are given.
【作者单位】： 上海交通大学安泰经济与管理学院;江苏大学汽车与交通工程学院;江苏大学财经学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金资助项目(71373105) 教育部人文社会科学研究基金资助项目(11YJC630084) 江苏省社会科学基金资助项目(11SHD011)
【分类号】：U491
[Abstract]:In order to alleviate the increasing traffic pressure in the intercity traffic corridor of the metropolitan area, China has implemented a lot of high speed railway construction projects in recent years. In order to evaluate these projects effectively and accurately, it is necessary to analyze the intercity travel behavior. Based on the extended planned behavior theory, this paper constructs a multi index multi cause. At the same time, from two angles of social and economic statistical characteristics and psychological factors, this paper analyzes the three ways of urban Intercity Travelers' choice behavior to ordinary trains, high speed trains and long-distance buses. The added latent variable "descriptive norm" and "behavior habit" have significant direct or indirect effects on the behavior and intention of the mode selection. According to the influence and relationship of the elements of the extended planned behavior theory on the behavior and intention of the intercity mode of urban circle, the difference of the socioeconomic statistical characteristics of the traveler can be targeted. The information and policy of intercity transportation supply in the metropolitan area are formulated, and the theoretical support for the optimization of urban traffic system is provided. Finally, some suggestions on the further study of the psychological model in the field of intercity travel mode selection are given.
【作者单位】： 上海交通大学安泰经济与管理学院;江苏大学汽车与交通工程学院;江苏大学财经学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金资助项目(71373105) 教育部人文社会科学研究基金资助项目(11YJC630084) 江苏省社会科学基金资助项目(11SHD011)
【分类号】：U491
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1 张锦;郑全全;;计划行为理论的发展、完善与应用[J];人类工效学;2012年01期
2 景鹏;隽志才;;计划行为理论框架下城际出行方式选择分析[J];中国科技论文;2013年11期
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4 穆f，
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