内战反对派武装的联盟构建与内部冲突——以叙利亚内战为例

发布时间：2018-02-22 02:37

本文关键词： 反对派联盟叙利亚内战反对派武装联盟构建内部冲突　出处：《国际安全研究》2017年02期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：在内战进程中,不同的反对派武装组织有时会构建起联盟共同反抗政府军,而有时则会相互袭击引发内部冲突。对于此现象的解释已是当前内战研究理论的重点。通过回顾既有研究对此问题提出的物质因素和理念因素解释,文章认为单纯的理念因素和物质因素均无法解释反对派联盟的形式与瓦解。因此,文章提出了一个将物质因素和理念因素进行整合的分析框架,分析理念因素与物质因素交互影响反对派联盟形成和内部冲突。在政府军实力较强的情况下,理念因素无法起作用,而反对派内部实力均衡与否也将使得理念因素对联盟构建产生不同的影响,并且外部支持则会加强理念在反对派联盟形成中的影响作用。文章以叙利亚内战作为阐释性案例,采取案例内比较的方式,对提出的逻辑进行分析。
[Abstract]:During the civil war, different armed opposition groups sometimes formed coalitions against government forces. And sometimes they attack each other and cause internal conflicts. The explanation of this phenomenon has become the focus of the current theory of civil war. The paper thinks that the form and disintegration of the opposition alliance can not be explained by either the idea factor or the material factor. Therefore, the paper puts forward an analytical framework to integrate the material factor and the idea factor. Analysis of the interaction of idealistic and material factors affecting the formation and internal conflict of opposition alliances. When the government forces are strong, the idealistic factors will not work. The balance of internal power of the opposition will also make the concept factors have different influence on the formation of the alliance, and external support will strengthen the influence of the idea in the formation of the opposition alliance. The article takes the Syrian civil war as an illustrative case. Taking the method of case-in-case comparison, the proposed logic is analyzed.
【作者单位】：上海国际问题研究院西亚非洲研究中心;复旦大学国际关系与公共事务学院;
【分类号】：D815.4

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