石家庄市已婚育龄妇女生育意愿研究

发布时间：2018-03-03 19:39

本文选题：生育意愿　切入点：实际生育意愿　出处：《吉林大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：伴随着我国经济社会快速发展，人口计生政策的有效落实，现代人们的生育观念发生了较大转变，生育水平已经大幅下降。生育意愿的强弱可以反映出生育水平的高低，因此，深入研究石家庄市的生育意愿可以间接地了解这种生育变化。同时，论文从实际数据出发，得出了许多有用的结论，为石家庄市提供合理化的人口公共服务提供依据。论文所用331份数据来源于实际调查，调查过程得到了当地计生部门的大力支持。首先借助统计软件SPSS19.0整理录入已有数据，，进行简单分析。接着对已婚育龄妇女理想生育意愿和实际生育意愿分别进行比较分析，详细全面地反映了两者之间存在的差异和共同点。最后运用统计学的思路，分析了影响实际意愿子女数和性别的单因素、多因素以及各因素的作用大小，客观反映出影响因素和生育意愿之间的相互关系。通过对石家庄市育龄已婚妇女生育意愿的研究，探讨了生育意愿和各种相关因素对生育意愿的影响，得出如下结论：第一、是否考虑客观因素对已婚育龄妇女意愿生育性别和理想子女数方面均有显著性差异性，在没有外部客观条件的限制下，人们愿意多生孩子；第二、独生子女、非独生子女多数都期望得到两个孩子，农村妇女、城市妇女对实际理想子女数，对实际生育性别均存在显著性差别，农村妇女的平均理想子女数1.74要大于城市妇女1.57个，农村妇女的实际生育意愿要比城市妇女高，但也不会多要，基本上还是以两个为主；第三、各年龄阶段、职业、文化程度、住房和生育政策对妇女实际理想子女数和生育性别的影响均有显著性差异；第四、不同的收入阶段对实际理想子女数的影响，有着显著性差异，但对实际出生性别的影响则没有显著差异；第五、石家庄市已婚育龄妇女现行生育二胎的影响因素，主要受制于生活成本，抚养孩子的成本太高，其次要受到计划生育政策和生育年龄的影响，年龄越大越不想生育第２个孩子，第三个因素主要受住房贷款的影响。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of our country's economy and society and the effective implementation of the population and family planning policy, modern people's conception of fertility has changed greatly, and the fertility level has dropped significantly. The strength of fertility will can reflect the level of fertility, so, Further study on the fertility will of Shijiazhuang can indirectly understand the fertility change. At the same time, based on the actual data, the paper draws many useful conclusions to provide the basis for the rational public service of population in Shijiazhuang. The data used in this paper come from the actual investigation, and the investigation process is strongly supported by the local family planning department. Firstly, the existing data are compiled and entered by the statistical software SPSS19.0. Then the ideal and actual reproductive wishes of married women of childbearing age are compared and analyzed respectively, reflecting in detail the differences and common points between the two. Finally, statistical thinking is used. This paper analyzes the single, multi-factors and the size of each factor that influence the number and sex of the children of practical will, and objectively reflects the interrelationship between the influencing factors and the fertility intention. Based on the study of fertility intention of married women of childbearing age in Shijiazhuang City, this paper discusses the influence of fertility intention and various related factors on it, and draws the following conclusions: first, Whether to consider the objective factors has significant difference on the sex and ideal number of children of married women of childbearing age. Without external objective conditions, people are willing to have more children; second, the only child, Most of the non-only children expect to have two children, rural women, urban women have significant differences in the actual ideal number of children, and the actual sex of birth, the average number of ideal children of rural women is 1.74 more than that of urban women 1.57. Rural women's actual desire to have children is higher than that of urban women, but they do not want more. Basically, they are mainly two. Third, they have different ages, occupations, and educational levels. The effect of housing and birth policy on the number of women's actual ideal children and the number of children born to women were significantly different, and in 4th, there were significant differences in the effect of different income stages on the actual number of ideal children. However, there was no significant difference on the actual sex of birth. In 5th, the factors affecting the current second child of married women of childbearing age in Shijiazhuang were mainly restricted by the cost of living, and the cost of raising children was too high. Secondly, it will be affected by the family planning policy and reproductive age, the older the older the more do not want to have the second child, the third factor is mainly affected by housing loans.
【学位授予单位】：吉林大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：C924.21;D669.68

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