美国“能源独立”的地缘政治影响分析

发布时间：2018-05-09 13:17

  本文选题：美国 + “能源独立”　； 参考：《国际论坛》2014年04期

【摘要】：美国本土非常规油气产量自2008年以来取得爆发式增长,带动了美国综合能源自给率不断提高,美国有望在15—20年内实现"能源独立"。这一变化将深刻影响到全球地缘政治格局,美国的超级大国地位将得以巩固。美洲崛起为世界新的能源供应中心,同时亚洲成为新的能源消费中心,全球能源贸易流向发生逆转。美国将摆脱中东石油负担,强化与欧亚盟友的关系,战略重心更加东移,其全球战略有可能进行有限度的收缩。世界部分资源型国家将面临政局不稳定压力,包括中国在内的新兴经济体挑战与机遇并存。美国"能源独立"给中国发展带来的机遇大于挑战,客观上有利于中国提高在国际事务中的影响力。
[Abstract]:The explosive growth of unconventional oil and gas production in the United States since 2008 has led to a growing overall energy self-sufficiency rate in the United States, which is expected to achieve "energy independence" within 15 to 20 years. This change will profoundly affect the global geopolitical landscape, and the US superpower status will be consolidated. America has emerged as the world's new energy supply center, while Asia has become a new energy consumption center, reversing global energy trade flows. The United States will shake off the Middle East oil burden, strengthen relations with its Eurasian allies, shift its strategic focus further eastward, and have the potential for a limited contraction in its global strategy. Some resource-based countries in the world will face the pressure of political instability and the challenges and opportunities of emerging economies, including China. American "energy independence" brings more opportunities than challenges to China's development, which objectively helps China to increase its influence in international affairs.
【作者单位】： 中国海洋石油总公司政策研究室;
【分类号】：D771.2
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本文编号：1866160