中国后人口转变时期的人口战略转型

发布时间：2018-04-27 20:38

本文选题：人口转变 + 后人口转变　；参考：《南京社会科学》2017年01期

【摘要】：新中国成立后,在人口转变的过程中,降低生育率和控制人口增长逐步构成我国宏观人口战略的核心,对于实现人口与发展的平衡协调关系发挥了积极的作用。2000年以后,我国人口发展进入“后人口转变”时期,人口基本国情和面向中长期的人口格局出现了一系列显著的转折性变化。在此背景下,本文提出面向未来的中国人口战略调整转变的基本思路,具体包括:改革“计划生育”探索“新计划生育”、从“汲取人口红利”到开发和创造“新人口红利”、从“形式的城镇化”转变为“制度的城镇化”,以及适应从“年轻的老龄化社会”到“更老的老龄化社会”。
[Abstract]:After the founding of the people's Republic of China, in the process of population transformation, the reduction of fertility rate and the control of population growth gradually formed the core of China's macro-population strategy, and played a positive role in achieving a balanced and coordinated relationship between population and development. China's population development has entered the period of "post-population transition", the basic national conditions of population and the population pattern oriented to the medium and long term have undergone a series of significant transition changes. Under this background, this paper puts forward the basic ideas of the strategic adjustment and transformation of China's population facing the future, including: reforming "family planning" and exploring "new family planning", from "absorbing the population dividend" to developing and creating "new population dividend". From "formal urbanization" to "institutional urbanization", and to adapt from "young aging society" to "older aging society".
【作者单位】：复旦大学人口研究所;
【分类号】：C923

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