改革开放以来辽宁省人口结构变化研究

发布时间：2018-04-27 22:48

本文选题：辽宁省 + 人口结构变化　；参考：《大连理工大学》2011年硕士论文

【摘要】：改革开放以来,辽宁省人口结构出现的变化深刻影响着辽宁省经济社会的发展。本文通过对1978年以来辽宁省人口结构三方面的数据的收集、整理和分析,阐述了改革开放以来辽宁省人口结构变化的过程,归纳出辽宁省人口结构变化的特征以及存在的问题,并在分析影响因素和产生原因的基础上,对其未来的发展趋势进行科学预测,进而为辽宁省未来经济社会人口结构发展的优化提出了相应对策。在对国内外研究成果进行综述的基础上,本文首先对人口结构相关概念及人口结构的分类进行了阐述。然后,运用区域人口结构理论构建研究框架,对人口结构的关键性因素进行总结归纳,从而为分析辽宁省人口的结构变化奠定了理论基础。通过定性与定量相结合的研究方法,对辽宁省人口自然结构、社会经济结构以及地域结构进行分析,归纳出1978年以来辽宁省人口结构演变的过程特征及存在问题,最后对辽宁省2011年至2020年的人口结构进行了预测。研究结果表明,辽宁省人口结构呈现六方面主要特征。辽宁省人口总体结构较为合理,但在老龄化进程过快、人力资本不足等问题上有待改善。通过对经济、政策、文化三方面原因的分析,预计到2020年,辽宁省常住人口将达到4518万人左右；65岁及以上的老年人口将达到688.54万人,老龄化率约为15.24%；城镇化率为73%左右。在优化对策方面,应继续促进产业结构升级和经济转型,在不断优化人口结构的基础上,保持辽宁省经济与社会平稳快速发展。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, the changes of population structure in Liaoning Province have a profound impact on the economic and social development of Liaoning Province. Through the collection, collation and analysis of the three aspects of population structure in Liaoning Province since 1978, this paper expounds the process of population structure change in Liaoning Province since the reform and opening up, and concludes the characteristics and existing problems of population structure change in Liaoning Province. Based on the analysis of the influencing factors and the causes, this paper makes a scientific prediction of its future development trend, and then puts forward the corresponding countermeasures for the optimization of the future economic and social population structure of Liaoning Province. On the basis of summarizing the domestic and foreign research results, this paper firstly expounds the related concepts of population structure and the classification of population structure. Then, using the regional population structure theory to construct the research frame, summarize the key factors of the population structure, thus lay a theoretical foundation for the analysis of the population structure change in Liaoning Province. Through the combination of qualitative and quantitative research methods, this paper analyzes the natural structure of population, social economic structure and regional structure of Liaoning Province, and concludes the process characteristics and existing problems of the evolution of population structure in Liaoning Province since 1978. Finally, the population structure of Liaoning Province from 2011 to 2020 is forecasted. The results show that the population structure of Liaoning Province presents six main characteristics. The population structure of Liaoning Province is reasonable, but the aging process is too fast and the human capital is insufficient. By analyzing the reasons of economy, policy and culture, it is estimated that by 2020, the resident population of Liaoning Province will reach 45.18 million people or over 65 years old population will reach 6.8854 million people, the aging rate is about 15.24%, and the urbanization rate is about 73%. In the aspect of optimizing countermeasures, we should continue to promote the upgrading of industrial structure and economic transformation, and maintain the steady and rapid economic and social development of Liaoning Province on the basis of continuously optimizing the population structure.
【学位授予单位】：大连理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2011
【分类号】：C924.2

【引证文献】