农民工市民化的家庭消费效应研究:来自中国的证据

发布时间：2018-06-25 14:40

本文选题：农民工市民化 + 家庭消费效应　；参考：《湘潭大学学报(哲学社会科学版)》2015年06期

【摘要】：使用中国家庭收入项目(CHIP)调查数据,以家庭为基本研究单位,通过把城镇常住人口家庭划分为普通城市居民家庭、农民工市民化家庭和农民工家庭,以避免直接用农民工家庭与城市居民家庭的消费差量衡量农民工市民化消费效应的估计偏误,试图更加准确地估计农民工市民化的家庭消费效应并检验社会保障的作用。研究表明:农民工市民化能够显著提高家庭边际消费倾向,并且农民工市民化家庭的边际消费倾向比普通城市居民家庭高;农民工市民化还能降低家庭生存型消费在总消费中所占的比重,提高发展与享受型消费占总消费的比重,逐步改善消费结构;并且农民工市民化对家庭消费的影响不是一次性的,它通过:农民工市民化—家庭消费改善和教育水平与就业能力提高—总收入增加—家庭消费进一步提升,持续地推动家庭消费的增加,按现有速度测算,如果将我国1亿农民工家庭全部市民化,每年至少新增国内消费约5万亿。
[Abstract]:Using the Chinese Family income Project (chip) survey data and taking the family as the basic research unit, by dividing the families of the urban resident population into ordinary urban households, peasant laborer households and migrant workers' families, In order to avoid using the consumption difference between the peasant workers' families and the urban residents' families directly to estimate the urban consumption effect of migrant workers, the author tries to estimate the household consumption effect of peasant workers' urbanization more accurately and to test the role of social security. The research shows that the urbanization of migrant workers can significantly improve the marginal consumption tendency of the families, and the marginal consumption tendency of the migrant workers' urbanized families is higher than that of the ordinary urban households. The urbanization of migrant workers can also reduce the proportion of household subsistence consumption in total consumption, increase the proportion of development and enjoyment consumption to total consumption, and gradually improve the consumption structure. And the influence of peasant laborer urbanization on family consumption is not one-off, it is through: peasant laborer urbanization-family consumption improvement, education level and employability increase, total income increase, household consumption further increase, At the present rate, if 100 million migrant workers' families in our country are fully urbanized, at least 5 trillion new domestic consumption will be added each year.
【作者单位】：湖南科技大学商学院;湖南科技大学新兴古典研究所;
【基金】：教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目“建立农村劳动力转移就业长效机制研究”(项目编号:11JZD018) 湖南省研究生科研创新项目“消费结构、产业结构与农村劳动力转移就业互动机制研究”(项目编号:CX2015B476)
【分类号】：F323.6;F126.1

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