南海问题的公众舆论及其对决策影响的分析

发布时间：2018-05-03 15:30

本文选题：南海问题 + 公众舆论　；参考：《国际新闻界》2014年12期

【摘要】：本文分析了有关南海领土冲突国内公众舆情的844个问卷数据,认为南海领土冲突的国内公众舆论具有"强群体极化"与"弱群体极化"的区别。南海领土冲突的公众舆论具有一定程度的自相矛盾性与非理性特征。在新媒体时代,公众舆论对南海问题决策形成"堤坝"效应。公众舆论对外交决策的影响要通过网络舆论和大众传媒的转化,这具体表现在公众认为个人对南海问题决策的影响微乎其微,但是通过大众媒体则可以在一定程度上影响外交决策。南海领土冲突公众舆论的"群体极化"、自相矛盾性和非理性等特征对南海决策形成较大的压力,这需要政府考虑在新媒体环境下,如何更好引导公众舆论,疏导民族主义情绪,使公众舆论与南海决策形成一种良性的动态平衡。
[Abstract]:In this paper, 844 questionnaire data about the domestic public opinion of the territorial conflict in the South China Sea are analyzed. It is concluded that the domestic public opinion of the territorial conflict in the South China Sea has the difference between "strong group polarization" and "weak group polarization". The public opinion of the territorial conflict in the South China Sea has a certain degree of contradiction and irrationality. In the new media era, public opinion forms the dike effect on the decision of the South China Sea. The influence of public opinion on foreign policy decisions has to be transformed through network public opinion and mass media. This is manifested in the public opinion that individuals have little influence on the decision-making on the South China Sea issue. But the mass media can influence diplomatic decisions to some extent. The characteristics of "group polarization" of public opinion in the territorial conflict in the South China Sea, such as contradiction and irrationality, have created greater pressure on decision-making in the South China Sea. This requires the government to consider how to better guide public opinion and channel nationalist sentiment under the new media environment. So that public opinion and the South China Sea decision to form a benign dynamic balance.
【作者单位】：华东师范大学政治学系;
【基金】：教育部人文社科项目“中国外交话语建构及其效果评估研究:以‘中美新型大国关系'为例”(项目号:14YJCGJW011)的阶段性成果~~
【分类号】：G206;D815.3

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