中国与中南半岛国家双边关系演进及形成机理研究

发布时间：2018-05-03 17:22

本文选题：双边关系 + “一带一路”　；参考：《世界地理研究》2017年03期

【摘要】：进入21世纪以来,随着世界地缘政治格局的继续分化与重组,处于"边缘地带"的中南半岛地缘政治地位日益凸显,日渐成为域外大国争夺地缘利益的热点地区。中南半岛是中国倡导共建"21世纪海上丝绸之路"重要的战略支点,中国与五国双边关系的亲疏对"一带一路"的推进有着重要的影响。文章首先采用事件数据分析法衡量2001年~2015年6月间中国与中南半岛五国双边关系,进而归纳其规律与特征,发现:中国与五国双边关系总体呈现不同程度波动下降态势;双边关系最高峰值的出现均由同一类事件影响产生、中缅关系下滑与中越关系恶化基本同期、双边关系程度的地域空间格局分异较为明显。中国与五国双边关系的演进是域外大国的干预、国家利益驱使下"大国平衡外交"的推行、区域与次区域合作的推进、边境安全与稳定等作用机理下的共同结果;最后基于前文研究提出:着力提升与各方政治互信水平、妥善处理中越南海领土争端、积极敦促缅甸各方维持国内安全与稳定、充分发挥"一带一路"愿景在经济与文化领域的作用等中国与五国关系良性互动对策。
[Abstract]:Since the beginning of the 21st century, with the continued differentiation and reorganization of the world geopolitical structure, the geopolitical status of the Indochina Peninsula, which is in the "marginal zone", has become increasingly prominent and has gradually become a hot spot for foreign powers to compete for geopolitical interests. Indochina Peninsula is an important strategic fulcrum for China to advocate the establishment of the "21st Century Maritime Silk Road", and the closeness of bilateral relations between China and the five countries has an important influence on the promotion of "Belt and Road". This paper first uses the event data analysis method to measure the bilateral relations between China and the five countries in the Indochina Peninsula from 2001 to June 2015, and then sums up their laws and characteristics, and finds that: the bilateral relations between China and the five countries have fluctuated and decreased in different degrees; The highest peak value of bilateral relations is caused by the same kind of events. The decline of Sino-Myanmar relations and the deterioration of Sino-Vietnamese relations are basically the same period. The regional spatial pattern of bilateral relations is different obviously. The evolution of bilateral relations between China and the five countries is the result of the intervention of foreign powers, the implementation of "balanced diplomacy of great powers" driven by national interests, the promotion of regional and subregional cooperation, the border security and stability, and so on. Finally, based on the previous study, it is proposed that efforts should be made to raise the level of political mutual trust with all parties, to properly handle the territorial dispute between China and Vietnam in the South China Sea, and to actively urge all parties in Myanmar to maintain domestic security and stability. Give full play to the role of Belt and Road's vision in the economic and cultural fields and other friendly interactive countermeasures between China and the five countries.
【作者单位】：云南师范大学旅游与地理科学学院;云南师范大学中国西南地缘环境与边疆发展协同创新中心;西北大学经济管理学院;江苏师范大学国土资源研究所;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(41671131) 中国西南地缘环境与边疆发展云南省2011协同创新中心开放基金课题
【分类号】：D822.3

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