马尔科夫预测模型在职业病危害评价中的应用
发布时间：2018-11-17 18:11
【摘要】：正马尔科夫预测模型是应用概率论中马尔科夫链的理论和方法来研究分析有关物理现象变化规律并借此预测未来状况的一种预测方法[1-2],他是根据事故的基本致因因素的发生概率,应用数理统计中的概率分析方法,求取整个研究对象的事故发生概率[3]。目前,马尔科夫预测模型在医学、国土资源、气象、经济、人力资源管理等自然科学和社会科学领域中得到广泛应用[4-8]。建设项目职业病危害评价所使用的方法主要有检查表法、风险评估
[Abstract]:The positive Markov prediction model is a kind of prediction method which applies the theory and method of Markov chain in probability theory to study and analyze the variation law of physical phenomena and to predict the future situation by this method [1-2]. According to the probability of the basic cause factors of accident, the probability analysis method in mathematical statistics is used to obtain the probability of accident occurrence of the whole object of study [3]. At present, Markov prediction model has been widely used in the fields of medicine, land and resources, meteorology, economy, human resources management and other natural and social sciences [4-8]. The main methods used in occupational hazard assessment of construction projects are checklists and risk assessment.
【作者单位】： 河南省安全科学技术研究院;
【分类号】：R135
[Abstract]:The positive Markov prediction model is a kind of prediction method which applies the theory and method of Markov chain in probability theory to study and analyze the variation law of physical phenomena and to predict the future situation by this method [1-2]. According to the probability of the basic cause factors of accident, the probability analysis method in mathematical statistics is used to obtain the probability of accident occurrence of the whole object of study [3]. At present, Markov prediction model has been widely used in the fields of medicine, land and resources, meteorology, economy, human resources management and other natural and social sciences [4-8]. The main methods used in occupational hazard assessment of construction projects are checklists and risk assessment.
【作者单位】： 河南省安全科学技术研究院;
【分类号】：R135
【参考文献】
相关期刊论文 前9条
1 廖捷;胡豪然;陈功;;叠加马尔科夫链在年降水量预测中的应用[J];安徽农业科学;2012年09期
2 牛东晓,关哲,任峰,毛继s，
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