突发事件应急预案的评估研究

发布时间：2018-06-30 08:58

  本文选题：突发事件 + 应急预案　； 参考：《首都经济贸易大学》2016年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着全球社会经济快速地发展,公共突发危机事件也在不断增加,中国作为快速发展中的国家,在追求经济、文化等发展的同时,难免会遭遇各种形式的公共突发危机事件。应急预案作为应对突发事件的指导性处置方案,有助于阻断突发公共突发危机事件的事态蔓延,降低事件造成的危害损失,是应急管理工作中的重要内容之一,而应急预案是否科学有效直接关系到应急管理工作能否顺利开展。因此,用科学的评估方式来管理应急预案,有助于提高应急预案在发挥应急处置指导工作方面的实效性,从而提高政府和社会群众应对突发事件的能力,最终保障社会的和谐安定。首先,本文通过国家重点项目课题研究情况入手,综合国内外有关应急预案评估的研究现状,对应急预案的评估方法和评估效果等进行概述；其次,在国内学者研究基础上,通过借鉴美国的应急管理框架和通用任务表等资料,提出了适用与我国目前应急预案的评估新模式,即利用对照法对预案开展评估,主要依据国内颁发的突发事件应对法等法律法规标准、上位应急预案、美国前沿的预案管理理念与方法(美国综合应急准备指南101、美国国家事故管理系统NIMS和通用任务表UTL等)、相关研究成果、同类案例分析这五个方面进行对照评估,采用小组头脑风暴等研讨手段,以提升应急准备能力为目的,重点对预案的充分性、可行性、完整性、可接受性、符合性这五方面进行评估,发现预案中存在的内容和结构上的问题,提出针对性的修订建议,完善应急预案。再者,本文还以《广东省处置大面积停电事件应急预案》作为评估目标案例,将整个对照评估的模式应用到该预案当中,让读者更加详细的了解对照评估法在预案评估中的实施运用。最后,总结对照评估方法在应急预案评估中应用存在的有点和不足,提出改进和完善评估方法的意见。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of global society and economy, public emergencies are also increasing. China, as a rapidly developing country, will inevitably encounter various forms of public emergencies while pursuing the development of economy and culture. As a guiding solution to emergency, emergency plan is helpful to block the spread of public emergency and reduce the damage caused by the incident. It is one of the important contents of emergency management. Whether the emergency plan is scientific and effective is directly related to the smooth development of emergency management. Therefore, using scientific evaluation method to manage emergency plan is helpful to improve the effectiveness of emergency plan in giving full play to the guiding work of emergency disposal, thus improving the ability of the government and the public to deal with emergencies. The ultimate guarantee of social harmony and stability. First of all, this article through the national key project topic research situation, synthesizes the domestic and foreign related emergency plan appraisal research present situation, carries on the summary to the emergency plan appraisal method and the appraisal effect and so on; secondly, based on the domestic scholar research foundation, By referring to the information of the emergency management framework and the general task table of the United States, this paper puts forward a new evaluation model suitable for our country's current emergency plan, that is, using the contrast method to carry out the evaluation of the contingency plan. Mainly according to the domestic laws and regulations, such as the emergency response law, the upper emergency plan, The concepts and methods of plan management in the front line of the United States (US Comprehensive Emergency Preparedness Guide 101, National accident Management system NIMS and Universal Task Table UTL, etc.), relevant research results, and similar case studies are compared and evaluated in these five aspects. Using group brainstorming and other research methods, with the aim of improving the emergency preparedness capability, focusing on the assessment of the adequacy, feasibility, integrity, acceptability and conformity of the plan, Find out the problems in the content and structure of the plan, and put forward some suggestions to perfect the emergency plan. Furthermore, this paper also takes Guangdong Province's Emergency Plan for dealing with large area blackouts as an evaluation target case, and applies the whole model of comparative evaluation to the plan. Let the reader understand in more detail the application of the control evaluation method in the pre-plan evaluation. Finally, the author summarizes the shortcomings of the application of the control evaluation method in the emergency plan evaluation, and puts forward some suggestions on how to improve and perfect the evaluation method.
【学位授予单位】：首都经济贸易大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：D63
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本文编号：2085737