改革开放后我国产业转移方向实证研究

发布时间：2018-04-02 17:38

本文选题：区域经济发展　切入点：空间相关性　出处：《贵州社会科学》2017年06期

【摘要】：采用省际数据,实证分析了我国东部地区各省份之间的区域经济空间相关性,结论表明:东部各省份的区域经济发展一体化程度较高,同时发现相邻省份中具有共同边界的区域其经济发展相关性也较高。以此为基础,使用1978-2014年的总体工业数据,借助工业净产值份额和第二产业劳动力就业份额两个指标,研究并测度了改革开放后我国产业的转移方向,结论表明:(1)从改革开放后的1978到2003年这段时期内,我国几乎没有发生东西方向上的产业转移,但在2003—2013年则发生了由东向西的制造业产业转移现象,同时向中部转移的幅度大于向西部转移的幅度,随后这一转移趋势又发生“逆转”;(2)在东部地区内部发生了由北向南的产业转移现象,此外上海作为初始工业化程度较高的地域,产业转移方向表现为南北两个方向;(3)与实证分析相对应,距离越近产业转移速度越快。最后,得出将东部地区作为我国经济运行主部的结论,而中西部则要发挥比较优势、承接相关产业、积极参与东部分工体系、推动自身经济发展。
[Abstract]:By using interprovincial data, this paper empirically analyzes the spatial correlation of regional economy among provinces in eastern China. The conclusion shows that the degree of integration of regional economic development in eastern provinces is relatively high.At the same time, it is found that the region with common boundary in neighboring provinces has higher correlation of economic development.On this basis, using the total industrial data from 1978 to 2014, with the help of the two indicators of the share of industrial net output value and the share of labor force employment in the second industry, this paper studies and measures the direction of industrial transfer in China after the reform and opening up.The conclusion shows that during the period from 1978 to 2003 after the reform and opening up, there was almost no east-west industrial transfer in China, but from 2003 to 2013, the industrial transfer from east to west occurred in China.At the same time, the extent of the transfer to the central region was greater than that to the west, and then the "reversal" of the transfer trend occurred in the eastern region, where the industrial transfer occurred from north to south.In addition, as a region with high initial industrialization, the direction of industrial transfer is the direction of industrial transfer, which corresponds to the empirical analysis, and the closer the distance is, the faster the speed of industrial transfer is.Finally, the conclusion is drawn that the eastern region is the main part of China's economic operation, while the central and western regions should give play to their comparative advantages, undertake related industries, actively participate in the eastern division of labor system, and promote their own economic development.
【作者单位】：南开大学;
【分类号】：F121

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