“新常态”背景下产业结构高级化、新型城镇化与经济增长——基于省域面板数据的空间计量分析

发布时间：2018-04-08 21:15

本文选题：产业结构高级化　切入点：新型城镇化　出处：《商业经济研究》2017年21期

【摘要】：产业结构变动、新型城镇化建设与经济增长不仅仅是单向的影响关系,而且是一种相互作用相互影响的循环统一体。本文通过建立固定效应下的省域数据空间误差模型,对"新常态"下产业结构高级化、新型城镇化建设与经济增长间的关系进行实证分析,其实证结果表明:整体上,产业结构高级化、新型城镇化建设对经济增长存在正向结构性冲击且外溢效用明显,经济增长空间依赖性强;东部地区产业结构高级对经济增长的作用强于新型城镇化建设;现阶段,新型城镇化建设仍然是中西部地区经济建设的重要方向,西部地区产业结构高级化对经济增长的逆向结构冲击可能是由于其结构不合理,效率低下造成。在经济"新常态"下,各地应把握产业结构高级化与新型城镇化的双轮驱动效应,促进经济的持续增长。
[Abstract]:The change of industrial structure, the new urbanization construction and the economic growth are not only unidirectional influence relations, but also a circular unity of interaction and interaction.By establishing the spatial error model of provincial data under fixed effect, this paper makes an empirical analysis on the relationship between the advanced industrial structure, the construction of new urbanization and economic growth under the "New normal". In fact, the empirical results show that, as a whole,With the development of industrial structure, the construction of new urbanization has a positive structural impact on economic growth with obvious spillover effect and strong spatial dependence on economic growth, and the higher industrial structure in the eastern region plays a stronger role in economic growth than in the new type of urbanization.At present, the construction of new urbanization is still an important direction of economic construction in the central and western regions. The reverse structural impact of the advanced industrial structure in the western region on economic growth may be caused by its unreasonable structure and low efficiency.Under the "new normal" of the economy, all localities should grasp the double wheel driving effect of the advanced industrial structure and the new type of urbanization to promote the sustained growth of the economy.
【作者单位】：中国社会科学院;福建商学院;
【基金】：福建省科技厅软科学项目“生产效率、技术创新与产业升级—基于福建省先进制造业的研究”(2014R0014)的阶段性成果
【分类号】：F121.3;F124;F299.21

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