中国产业结构高度化的时空差距及其分布动态演进
发布时间：2018-07-17 14:54
【摘要】：以1997~2014年中国31个省份为研究样本,采用Dagum基尼系数及其分解方法、Kernel密度估计以及空间马尔科夫链方法,研究中国产业结构高度化的空间差距及其分布动态演进。研究表明:中国产业结构高度化空间分布的总体差距、地区内差距和地区间差距均呈缩小趋势,空间差距的主导因素具有阶段性变化特征;中国产业结构高度化水平在样本考察期内不断提升,但分布不均衡现象显著;空间马尔科夫转移概率与邻域空间滞后类型显著相关,产业结构高度化的"俱乐部趋同"现象明显,"溢出效应"高于"短板效应",各地区空间转移表现出差异化演变趋势。
[Abstract]:Taking 31 provinces of China from 1997 to 2014 as the research samples, using Dagum Gini coefficient and its decomposition method, Kernel density estimation and spatial Markov chain method, the spatial disparity and dynamic evolution of industrial structure in China are studied. The results show that: the overall gap in the spatial distribution of the industrial structure in China, the gap within the region and the gap between regions are shrinking, and the dominant factors of the spatial gap have the characteristics of periodic change; The higher level of industrial structure in China has been increasing during the period of sample investigation, but the phenomenon of uneven distribution is significant, and the probability of spatial Markov transfer is significantly related to the lag type of neighborhood space. The phenomenon of "club convergence" is obvious, the "spillover effect" is higher than "short board effect", and the regional spatial transfer shows the trend of differentiation and evolution.
【作者单位】： 山东财经大学统计学院;山东财经大学金融学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目“政策约束下基于不同风险测度的最优保险投资策略”(71671104) 山东省自然科学基金项目“基于变精度函数粗集理论的金融高频数据挖掘方法研究”(ZR2013AQ019) 山东省统计科研重点课题项目“基于空间统计方法的我国人力资本与产业结构升级关系研究”(KT16210)
【分类号】：F121.3
[Abstract]:Taking 31 provinces of China from 1997 to 2014 as the research samples, using Dagum Gini coefficient and its decomposition method, Kernel density estimation and spatial Markov chain method, the spatial disparity and dynamic evolution of industrial structure in China are studied. The results show that: the overall gap in the spatial distribution of the industrial structure in China, the gap within the region and the gap between regions are shrinking, and the dominant factors of the spatial gap have the characteristics of periodic change; The higher level of industrial structure in China has been increasing during the period of sample investigation, but the phenomenon of uneven distribution is significant, and the probability of spatial Markov transfer is significantly related to the lag type of neighborhood space. The phenomenon of "club convergence" is obvious, the "spillover effect" is higher than "short board effect", and the regional spatial transfer shows the trend of differentiation and evolution.
【作者单位】： 山东财经大学统计学院;山东财经大学金融学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目“政策约束下基于不同风险测度的最优保险投资策略”(71671104) 山东省自然科学基金项目“基于变精度函数粗集理论的金融高频数据挖掘方法研究”(ZR2013AQ019) 山东省统计科研重点课题项目“基于空间统计方法的我国人力资本与产业结构升级关系研究”(KT16210)
【分类号】：F121.3
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