产业网络结构与总产出波动的关系——以中国八省市投入产出数据为例

发布时间：2018-08-25 13:05

【摘要】：经济系统中可能存在大型供应枢纽部门或大型需求中心部门,导致了产业网络结构的不对称,这种不对称为部门冲击转化为总产出波动提供了路径。把产业网络模型与灰色关联分析方法相结合,提出一类研究产业网络结构与总产出波动关系的NSPG法,并以中国八省市2007年投入产出截面数据为例对两者关系进行了实例分析。计算结果表明,产业网络需求结构与总产出波动不存在关联关系;产业网络一阶直接供给结构与总产出波动存在较为密切的关联关系,说明一阶直接供给结构对总产出波动存在较为显著的影响;中国西部产业网络结构与总产出波动的关联关系比东部密切,说明产业网络结构不对称程度越大,其对总产出波动的影响也越大。
[Abstract]:There may be a large supply hub or a large demand center in the economic system, which leads to the asymmetry of the industrial network structure, which provides a path for the sector impact to change into the total output fluctuation. By combining the industrial network model with the grey relational analysis method, a kind of NSPG method is proposed to study the relationship between the industrial network structure and the total output fluctuation. Taking the input-output cross-section data of eight provinces and cities in China in 2007 as an example, the relationship between them is analyzed as an example. The results show that there is no correlation between the demand structure of industrial network and the fluctuation of total output, and the first-order direct supply structure of industrial network is closely related to the fluctuation of total output. It shows that the first-order direct supply structure has a significant influence on the total output fluctuation, and the relationship between the industrial network structure and the total output fluctuation in western China is closer than that in the eastern part, which indicates that the more asymmetric the industrial network structure, the greater the degree of asymmetry of the industrial network structure. The greater the impact on the fluctuation of total output.
【作者单位】：山东行政学院经济学部;山东大学管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金资助项目(71371108)
【分类号】：F127;F223

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